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About

About

Full Professor at Industrial Engineering and Management, FEUP, and Porto Business School. Co-founder of LTPlabs (spin-off of INESC TEC and FEUP). Member of the board of Trustees ("conselho de curadores") of Fundação Belmiro de Azevedo

His main area of activity is Management Science/Operations Research. He develops and applies advanced analytical models and methods to help make better decisions, solving managerial problems in various domains (manufacturing, health, retail and mobility), with a special focus on Operations Management.

Advanced Management Programme, INSEAD. PhD in Industrial Engineering and Management, UP. Degree in Management and Industrial Engineering (5 years degree), FEUP. Former researcher at Operations Research Center of Massachusetts Institute of Technology – MIT/ORC. Certified Analytics Professional from The Institute for Operations Research and the Management Sciences.

Former Member of the Board at INESC TEC Technology and Science. Former Vice-Academic Director of IBM Center for Advanced Studies Portugal (IBM-CAS). Co-founder of start-up Adjust Consulting (that was acquired by Glintt HealthCare).

Details

Details

  • Name

    Bernardo Almada-Lobo
  • Role

    Diretor
  • Since

    01st December 2010
019
Publications

2024

Matheuristic for the lot-sizing and scheduling problem in integrated pulp and paper production

Authors
Furlan, M; Almada Lobo, B; Santos, M; Morabito, R;

Publication
COMPUTERS & INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING

Abstract
Vertical pulp and paper production is challenging from a process point of view. Managers must deal with floating bottlenecks, intermediate storage levels, and by-product production to control the whole process while reducing unexpected downtimes. Thus, this paper aims to address the integrated lot sizing and scheduling problem considering continuous digester production, multiple paper machines, and a chemical recovery line to treat by-products. The aim is to minimize the total production cost to meet customer demands, considering all productive resources and encouraging steam production (which can be used in power generation). Production planning should define the sizes of production lots, the sequence of paper types produced in each machine, and the digester working speed throughout the planning horizon. Furthermore, it should indicate the rate of byproduct treatment at each stage of the recovery line and ensure the minimum and maximum storage limits. Due to the difficulty of exactly solving the mixed integer programming model representing this problem for realworld instances, mainly with planning horizons of over two weeks, constructive and improvement heuristics are proposed in this work. Different heuristic combinations are tested on hundreds of instances generated from data collected from the industry. Comparisons are made with a commercial Mixed-Integer and Linear Programming solver and a hybrid metaheuristic. The results show that combining the greedy constructive heuristic with the new variation of a fix-and-optimize improvement method delivers the best performance in both solution quality and computational time and effectively solves realistic size problems in practice. The proposed method achieved 69.41% of the best solutions for the generated set and 55.40% and 64.00% for the literature set for 1 and 2 machines, respectively, compared with the best solution method from the literature and a commercial solver.

2024

Correction to: Enhancing robustness to forecast errors in availability control for airline revenue management (Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management, (2024), 10.1057/s41272-024-00475-9)

Authors
Gonçalves, T; Almada Lobo, B;

Publication
Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management

Abstract
In the original version of this article, "Data availability" statement was mistakenly inserted. The following data availability statement should be removed. As a final point, while the traditional independent demand model involves comparing unconstrained bookings with unconstrained demand forecasts to assess prediction accuracy, handling dependent demand is more complex, since the availability of a class affects the demand for other classes. Therefore, it is essential to have forecast data for all control policies, as advocated by Fiig et al. (2014), to establish a standardized method for computing forecast errors. This ensures the accurate functionality of the predictive model for optimal margin correction. The original article has been corrected. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited 2024.

2024

Enhancing robustness to forecast errors in availability control for airline revenue management

Authors
Gonçalves, T; Almada Lobo, B;

Publication
Journal of Revenue and Pricing Management

Abstract
Traditional revenue management systems are built under the assumption of independent demand per fare. The fare adjustment theory is a methodology to adjust fares that allows for the continued use of optimization algorithms and seat inventory control methods, even with the shift toward dependent demand. Since accurate demand forecasts are a key input to this methodology, it is reasonable to assume that for a scenario with uncertainties it may deliver suboptimal performance. Particularly, during and after COVID-19, airlines faced striking challenges in demand forecasting. This study demonstrates, firstly, the theoretical dominance of the fare adjustment theory under perfect conditions. Secondly, it lacks robustness to forecast errors. A Monte Carlo simulation replicating a revenue management system under mild assumptions indicates that a forecast error of ±20% can potentially prompt a necessity to adjust the margin employed in the fare adjustment theory by -10%. Moreover, a tree-based machine learning model highlights the forecast error as the predominant factor, with bias playing an even more pivotal role than variance. An out-of-sample study indicates that the predictive model steadily outperforms the fare adjustment theory. © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited 2024.

2024

A Data-Driven Monitoring Approach for Diagnosing Quality Degradation in a Glass Container Process

Authors
Oliveira, MA; Guimaraes, L; Borges, JL; Almada-Lobo, B;

Publication
MACHINE LEARNING, OPTIMIZATION, AND DATA SCIENCE, LOD 2023, PT I

Abstract
Maintaining process quality is one of the biggest challenges manufacturing industries face, as production processes have become increasingly complex and difficult to monitor effectively in today's manufacturing contexts. Reliance on skilled operators can result in suboptimal solutions, impacting process quality. In doing so, the importance of quality monitoring and diagnosis methods cannot be undermined. Existing approaches have limitations, including assumptions, prior knowledge requirements, and unsuitability for certain data types. To address these challenges, we present a novel unsupervised monitoring and detection methodology to monitor and evaluate the evolution of a quality characteristic's degradation. To measure the degradation we created a condition index that effectively captures the quality characteristic's mean and scale shifts from the company's specification levels. No prior knowledge or data assumptions are required, making it highly flexible and adaptable. By transforming the unsupervised problem into a supervised one and utilising historical production data, we employ logistic regression to predict the quality characteristic's conditions and diagnose poor condition moments by taking advantage of the model's interpretability. We demonstrate the methodology's application in a glass container production process, specifically monitoring multiple defective rates. Nonetheless, our approach is versatile and can be applied to any quality characteristic. The ultimate goal is to provide decision-makers and operators with a comprehensive view of the production process, enabling better-informed decisions and overall product quality improvement.

2023

Hybrid MCDM and simulation-optimization for strategic supplier selection

Authors
Saputro, TE; Figueira, G; Almada-Lobo, B;

Publication
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS

Abstract
Supplier selection for strategic items requires a comprehensive framework dealing with qualitative and quantitative aspects of a company's competitive priorities and supply risk, decision scope, and uncertainty. In order to address these aspects, this study aims to tackle supplier selection for strategic items with a multi-sourcing, taking into account multi-criteria, incorporating uncertainty of decision-makers judgment and supplier-buyer parameters, and integrating with inventory management which the past studies have not addressed well. We develop a novel two-phase solution approach based on integrated multi-criteria decision -making (MCDM) and multi-objective simulation-optimization (S-O). First, MCDM methods, including fuzzy AHP and interval TOPSIS, are applied to calculate suppliers' scores, incorporating uncertain decision makers' judgment. S-O then combines the (quantitative) cost-related criteria and considers supply disruptions and uncertain supplier-buyer parameters. By running this approach on data generated based on previous studies, we evaluate the impact of the decision maker's and the objective's weight, which are considered important in supplier selection.

Supervised
thesis

2023

Warehouse Automation in a Luxury Fashion Platform

Author
Bárbara Domingues dos Santos Freitas Souto

Institution
UP-FEUP

2023

Enhancing robustness to forecast errors in availability control for airline revenue management

Author
Tiago Ribeiro Gonçalves

Institution
UP-FEUP

2022

Fulfillment in online retail: making real-time decisions with explainable artificial intelligence

Author
Sérgio Vasconcelos Castro

Institution
UP-FEUP

2022

Towards Sustainable Product and Supply Chain Development in the Aerospace Industry

Author
Nuno Bernardo Gonçalves Falcão e Cunha

Institution
UP-FEUP

2022

Demand Forecasting in a Process Industry Context

Author
João Dias Sampaio

Institution
UP-FEUP