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Publications

Publications by HumanISE

2014

Short-term wind speed forecasting using Support Vector Machines

Authors
Pinto, T; Ramos, S; Sousa, TM; Vale, ZA;

Publication
2014 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence in Dynamic and Uncertain Environments, CIDUE 2014, Orlando, FL, USA, December 9-12, 2014

Abstract

2014

Adaptive learning in agents behaviour: A framework for electricity markets simulation

Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Praca, I; Santos, G; Morais, H;

Publication
INTEGRATED COMPUTER-AIDED ENGINEERING

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multiagent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. This paper presents a methodology to provide decision support to electricity market negotiating players. This model allows integrating different strategic approaches for electricity market negotiations, and choosing the most appropriate one at each time, for each different negotiation context. This methodology is integrated in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System) - a multiagent system that provides decision support to MASCEM's negotiating agents so that they can properly achieve their goals. ALBidS uses artificial intelligence methodologies and data analysis algorithms to provide effective adaptive learning capabilities to such negotiating entities. The main contribution is provided by a methodology that combines several distinct strategies to build actions proposals, so that the best can be chosen at each time, depending on the context and simulation circumstances. The choosing process includes reinforcement learning algorithms, a mechanism for negotiating contexts analysis, a mechanism for the management of the efficiency/effectiveness balance of the system, and a mechanism for competitor players' profiles definition.

2014

A hybrid simulated annealing approach to handle energy resource management considering an intensive use of electric vehicles

Authors
Sousa, T; Vale, Z; Carvalho, JP; Pinto, T; Morais, H;

Publication
ENERGY

Abstract
The massification of electric vehicles (EVs) can have a significant impact on the power system, requiring a new approach for the energy resource management. The energy resource management has the objective to obtain the optimal scheduling of the available resources considering distributed generators, storage units, demand response and EVs. The large number of resources causes more complexity in the energy resource management, taking several hours to reach the optimal solution which requires a quick solution for the next day. Therefore, it is necessary to use adequate optimization techniques to determine the best solution in a reasonable amount of time. This paper presents a hybrid artificial intelligence technique to solve a complex energy resource management problem with a large number of resources, including EVs, connected to the electric network. The hybrid approach combines simulated annealing (SA) and ant colony optimization (ACO) techniques. The case study concerns different EVs penetration levels. Comparisons with a previous SA approach and a deterministic technique are also presented. For 2000 EVs scenario, the proposed hybrid approach found a solution better than the previous SA version, resulting in a cost reduction of 1.94%. For this scenario, the proposed approach is approximately 94 times faster than the deterministic approach.

2014

Estabilidade dimensional da madeira na presença de água

Authors
Ferreira, D; Pinto, C; Borges, P; Pinto, T; Fonseca, E;

Publication
REHABEND

Abstract

2014

Multiagent system architecture for short-term operation of integrated microgrids

Authors
Ghazvini, MAF; Abedini, R; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publication
IFAC Proceedings Volumes (IFAC-PapersOnline)

Abstract
The forthcoming smart grids are comprised of integrated microgrids operating in grid-connected and isolated mode with local generation, storage and demand response (DR) programs. The proposed model is based on three successive complementary steps for power transaction in the market environment. The first step is characterized as a microgrid's internal market; the second concerns negotiations between distinct interconnected microgrids; and finally, the third refers to the actual electricity market. The proposed approach is modeled and tested using a MAS framework directed to the study of the smart grids environment, including the simulation of electricity markets. This is achieved through the integration of the proposed approach with the MASGriP (Multi-Agent Smart Grid Platform) system. © IFAC.

2014

Realistic multi-agent simulation of competitive electricity markets

Authors
Pinto, T; Santos, G; Vale, Z; Praca, I; Lopes, F; Algarvio, H;

Publication
Proceedings - International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications, DEXA

Abstract
The dynamism and ongoing changes that the electricity markets sector is constantly suffering, enhanced by the huge increase in competitiveness, create the need of using simulation platforms to support operators, regulators, and the involved players in understanding and dealing with this complex environment. This paper presents an enhanced electricity market simulator, based on multi-agent technology, which provides an advanced simulation framework for the study of real electricity markets operation, and the interactions between the involved players. MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets) uses real data for the creation of realistic simulation scenarios, which allow the study of the impacts and implications that electricity markets transformations bring to different countries. Also, the development of an upper-ontology to support the communication between participating agents, provides the means for the integration of this simulator with other frameworks, such as MAN-REM (Multi-Agent Negotiation and Risk Management in Electricity Markets). A case study using the enhanced simulation platform that results from the integration of several systems and different tools is presented, with a scenario based on real data, simulating the MIBEL electricity market environment, and comparing the simulation performance with the real electricity market results.

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