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Publications

Publications by Carlos Ferreira

2011

Development and testing of improved statistical wind power forecasting methods.

Authors
Mendes, J; Bessa, R; Keko, H; Sumaili, J; Miranda, V; Ferreira, C; Gama, J; Botterud, A; Zhou, Z; Wang, J;

Publication

Abstract

2011

A survey on wind power ramp forecasting.

Authors
Ferreira, C; Gama, J; Matias, L; Botterud, A; Wang, J; (INESC Porto),;

Publication

Abstract

2012

Sequential Pattern Knowledge in Multi-Relational Learning

Authors
Ferreira, CA; Gama, J; Costa, VS;

Publication
COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCES II

Abstract
In this work we present XmuSer, a multi-relational framework suitable to explore temporal patterns available in multi-relational databases. xMuS er's main idea consists of exploiting frequent sequence mining, using an efficient and direct method to learn temporal patterns in the form of sequences. Grounded on a coding methodology and on the efficiency of sequence miners, we find the most interesting sequential patterns available and then map these findings into a new table, which encodes the multi-relational timed data using sequential patterns. In the last step of our framework, we use an ILP algorithm to learn a theory on the enlarged relational database that consists on the original multi-relational database and the new sequence relation. We evaluate our framework by addressing three classification problems.

2012

Bus Bunching detection: A sequence mining approach

Authors
Moreira Matias, L; Ferreira, C; Gama, J; Mendes Moreira, J; De Sousa, JF;

Publication
CEUR Workshop Proceedings

Abstract
Mining public transportation networks is a growing and explosive challenge due to the increasing number of information available. In highly populated urban zones, the vehicles can often fail the schedule. Such fails cause headway deviations (HD) between high-frequency bus pairs. In this paper, we propose to identify systematic HD which usually provokes the phenomenon known as Bus Bunching (BB). We use the PrefixSpan algorithm to accurately mine sequences of bus stops where multiple HD frequently emerges, forcing two or more buses to clump. Our results are promising: 1) we demonstrated that the BB origin can be modeled like a sequence mining problem where 2) the discovered patterns can easily identify the route schedule points to adjust in order to mitigate such events.

2012

Bus bunching detection by mining sequences of headway deviations

Authors
Moreira Matias, L; Ferreira, C; Gama, J; Mendes Moreira, J; De Sousa, JF;

Publication
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)

Abstract
In highly populated urban zones, it is common to notice headway deviations (HD) between pairs of buses. When these events occur in a bus stop, they often cause bus bunching (BB) in the following bus stops. Several proposals have been suggested to mitigate this problem. In this paper, we propose to find BBS (Bunching Black Spots) - sequences of bus stops where systematic HD events cause the formation of BB. We run a sequence mining algorithm, named PrefixSpan, to find interesting events available in time series. We prove that we can accurately model the BB trip usual pattern like a frequent sequence mining problem. The subsequences proved to be a promising way of identify the route' schedule points to adjust in order to mitigate such events. © 2012 Springer-Verlag.

2011

Constrained Sequential Pattern Knowledge in Multi-relational Learning

Authors
Ferreira, CA; Gama, J; Costa, VS;

Publication
PROGRESS IN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE

Abstract
In this work we present XMuSer, a multi-relational framework suitable to explore temporal patterns available in multi-relational databases. XMuSer's main idea consists of exploiting frequent sequence mining, using an efficient and direct method to learn temporal patterns in the form of sequences. Grounded on a coding methodology and on the efficiency of sequential miners, we find the most interesting sequential patterns available and then map these findings into a new table, which encodes the multi-relational timed data using sequential patterns. In the last step of our framework, we use an ILP algorithm to learn a theory on the enlarged relational database that consists on the original multi-relational database and the new sequence relation. We evaluate our framework by addressing three classification problems. Moreover, we map each one of three different types of sequential patterns: frequent sequences, closed sequences or maximal sequences.

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