2021
Authors
Puindi, AC; Silva, ME;
Publication
JOURNAL OF APPLIED STATISTICS
Abstract
This work presents a framework of dynamic structural models with covariates for short-term forecasting of time series with complex seasonal patterns. The framework is based on the multiple sources of randomness formulation. A noise model is formulated to allow the incorporation of randomness into the seasonal component and to propagate this same randomness in the coefficients of the variant trigonometric terms over time. A unique, recursive and systematic computational procedure based on the maximum likelihood estimation under the hypothesis of Gaussian errors is introduced. The referred procedure combines the Kalman filter with recursive adjustment of the covariance matrices and the selection method of harmonics number in the trigonometric terms. A key feature of this method is that it allows estimating not only the states of the system but also allows obtaining the standard errors of the estimated parameters and the prediction intervals. In addition, this work also presents a non-parametric bootstrap approach to improve the forecasting method based on Kalman filter recursions. The proposed framework is empirically explored with two real time series.
2021
Authors
Costa Cunha, LF; Ramalho, JC;
Publication
10th Symposium on Languages, Applications and Technologies, SLATE 2021, July 1-2, 2021, Vila do Conde/Póvoa de Varzim, Portugal.
Abstract
At the moment, the vast majority of Portuguese archives with an online presence use a software solution to manage their finding aids: e.g. Digitarq or Archeevo. Most of these finding aids are written in natural language without any annotation that would enable a machine to identify named entities, geographical locations or even some dates. That would allow the machine to create smart browsing tools on top of those record contents like entity linking and record linking. In this work we have created a set of datasets to train Machine Learning algorithms to find those named entities and geographical locations. After training several algorithms we tested them in several datasets and registered their precision and accuracy. These results enabled us to achieve some conclusions about what kind of precision we can achieve with this approach in this context and what to do with the results: do we have enough precision and accuracy to create toponymic and anthroponomic indexes for archival finding aids? Is this approach suitable in this context? These are some of the questions we intend to answer along this paper.
2021
Authors
Munna, TA; Delhibabu, R;
Publication
INTELLIGENT INFORMATION AND DATABASE SYSTEMS, ACIIDS 2021
Abstract
Nowadays, due to the growing demand for interdisciplinary research and innovation, different scientific communities pay substantial attention to cross-domain collaboration. However, having only information retrieval technologies in hands might be not enough to find prospective collaborators due to the large volume of stored bibliographic records in scholarly databases and unawareness about emerging cross-disciplinary trends. To address this issue, the endorsement of the cross-disciplinary scientific alliances have been introduced as a new tool for scientific research and technological modernization. In this paper, we use a state-of-art knowledge representation technique named Knowledge Graphs (KGs) and demonstrate how clustering of learned KGs embeddings helps to build a cross-disciplinary co-author recommendation system. © 2021, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
2021
Authors
Reyes, M; Abreu, PH; Cardoso, JS; Hajij, M; Zamzmi, G; Paul, R; Thakur, L;
Publication
iMIMIC/TDA4MedicalData@MICCAI
Abstract
2021
Authors
Salazar, T; Santos, MS; Araujo, H; Abreu, PH;
Publication
IEEE ACCESS
Abstract
With the increased use of machine learning algorithms to make decisions which impact people's lives, it is of extreme importance to ensure that predictions do not prejudice subgroups of the population with respect to sensitive attributes such as race or gender. Discrimination occurs when the probability of a positive outcome changes across privileged and unprivileged groups defined by the sensitive attributes. It has been shown that this bias can be originated from imbalanced data contexts where one of the classes contains a much smaller number of instances than the other classes. It is also important to identify the nature of the imbalanced data, including the characteristics of the minority classes' distribution. This paper presents FAWOS: a Fairness-Aware oversampling algorithm which aims to attenuate unfair treatment by handling sensitive attributes' imbalance. We categorize different types of datapoints according to their local neighbourhood with respect to the sensitive attributes, identifying which are more difficult to learn by the classifiers. In order to balance the dataset, FAWOS oversamples the training data by creating new synthetic datapoints using the different types of datapoints identified. We test the impact of FAWOS on different learning classifiers and analyze which can better handle sensitive attribute imbalance. Empirically, we observe that this algorithm can effectively increase the fairness results of the classifiers while not neglecting the classification performance. Source code can be found at: https://github.com/teresalazar13/FAWOS
2021
Authors
Teixeira, AR; Rodrigues, I; Gomes, A; Abreu, PH; Bermúdez, GR;
Publication
Augmented Cognition - 15th International Conference, AC 2021, Held as Part of the 23rd HCI International Conference, HCII 2021, Virtual Event, July 24-29, 2021, Proceedings
Abstract
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