2021
Authors
Paulos, JP; Fidalgo, JN; Saraiva, JT; Barbosa, N;
Publication
2021 IEEE MADRID POWERTECH
Abstract
In Europe, clean distributed generation, DG, is perceived as a crucial instrument to build the path towards carbon emission neutrality. DG already reached a large share in the generation mix of several countries and the reduction of technical losses is one of its most mentioned advantages. In this scope, this paper discusses the weaknesses of this postulation using real networks. The adopted methodology involves the power flow simulation of a collection of real networks, using 15 min real measurements of loads and generations for a whole year. The clustering of similar cases allows identifying the situations that cause higher losses. A complementary objective of this research was to define an approach to mitigate this problem in terms of identifying the branches that, if reinforced, most contribute to losses reduction. The results obtained confirm the rationality of the proposed methodology.
2021
Authors
Macedo, PM; Fidalgo, JN; Saraiva, JT;
Publication
2021 IEEE MADRID POWERTECH
Abstract
The financial planning of distribution systems usually includes the prediction of annual mandatory investments, concerning the resources that the DSO is compelled to allocate as a result of new network connections, required by new consumers or new energy producers. This paper presents a methodology to estimate the mandatory investments that the DSO should do in the distribution network. These estimations are based on historical data, load growth expectations and various socioeconomic indices. However, the available database contains very few annual investment examples (one aggregated value per year since 2002) compared to the large number of variables (potential inputs), which is a factor of regression overfitting. Thus, the applicable regression techniques are restrained to simple but efficient models. This paper describes a new methodology to identify the most suitable estimation models. The implemented application automatically builds, selects, and tests estimation models resulting from combinations of input variables. The final forecast is provided by a committee of models. Results obtained so far confirm the feasibility of the adopted methodology.
2015
Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Progano, LR;
Publication
2015 18TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEM APPLICATION TO POWER SYSTEMS (ISAP)
Abstract
Load profiles are a crucial tool for power system planning and operation, and also in several operations of electricity markets. This article proposes a new methodology for the determination of load profiles based on a two-step approach. The first phase employs a neural network autoencoder to reduce the dimensionality of the input vectors. The second phase is a clustering process based on the Kohonen Self- Organizing Maps, to identify cohesive consumers' classes. The implemented approach produces classes based on load diagrams and, simultaneously, a class identification based on consumers' billing data.
2021
Authors
Prakash, P; Tavares, BC; Prata, R; Fidalgo, N; Moreira, C; Soares, F;
Publication
IET Conference Proceedings
Abstract
Recent advances in electric vehicle (EV) charging capability have seen a wide growth in the consumer market, which will continue to increase in future years with favourable policy incentives. However, the uncontrolled connection and charging of EV may have an adverse effect on three-phase distribution grids operation. This paper presents the impact of EV integration in a real LV Portuguese urban network. It analyses the network loading, energy losses, and voltage imbalances, under different scenarios of EV charging location and phase connection. The DIgSILENT Power Factory software is used in the voltage imbalance studies. Preliminary results show that the voltage drop in the analysed network is significantly affected by the location of the EV. Furthermore, as expected, the unbalanced EV loading leads to an increase of voltage unbalance between phases which is more pronounced when higher levels of EV are considered. © 2021 The Institution of Engineering and Technology.
2022
Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Macedo, P;
Publication
APPLIED SCIENCES-BASEL
Abstract
Nontechnical losses in electricity distribution networks are often associated with a countries' socioeconomic situation. Although the amount of global losses is usually known, the separation between technical and commercial (nontechnical) losses will remain one of the main challenges for DSO until smart grids become fully implemented and operational. The most common origins of commercial losses are energy theft and deliberate or accidental failures of energy measuring equipment. In any case, the consequences can be regarded as consumption anomalies. The work described in this paper aims to answer a request from a DSO, for the development of tools to detect consumption anomalies at end-customer facilities (HV, MV and LV), invoking two types of assessment. The first consists of the identification of typical patterns in the set of consumption profiles of a given group or zone and the detection of atypical consumers (outliers) within it. The second assessment involves the exploration of the load diagram evolution of each specific consumer to detect changes in the consumption pattern that could represent situations of probable irregularities. After a representative period, typically 12 months, these assessments are repeated, and the results are compared to the initial ones. The eventual changes in the typical classes or consumption scales are used to build a classifier indicating the risk of anomaly.
2022
Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Azevedo, F;
Publication
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH
Abstract
The last decade has witnessed a growing tendency to promote deeper exploitation of power systems infrastructure, postponing investments in networks reinforcement. In particular, the literature on smart grids research often emphasizes their potential to defer investments. The study reported in this paper analyses the impact of reinforcement decisions, comparing the long-term costs associated with different network conditions and economic analysis parameters. The results support the conclusion that network reinforcement deferral is not a panacea, as it often generates costly situations in the long-term. The challenge is not to find new ways to postpone investments, but to find the most beneficial criterion to trigger the grid reinforcements actions. Another contribution of the present work is a decision support system to identify the most economical network reinforcement criterion in terms of the peak to capacity ratio.
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