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Publications

Publications by José Villar

2024

Model-Based Analysis of Sustainable Energy Transition: A Case Study of Portugal's Regional Wind and Solar Power Generation

Authors
de Oliveira, AR; Martínez, SD; Collado, JV; Meireles, M; Lopez-Maciel, MA; Lima, F; Ramalho, E; Robaina, M; Madaleno, M; Dias, MF;

Publication
2024 20TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM 2024

Abstract
In the context of the R3EA project, funded by the Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology (FCT), we analyse a set of selected future power system scenarios to assess the impact, on the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL), of installing wind and solar generation capacity in Portugal's Centro Region. We use the long-term MIBEL operation and planning model CEVESA. The scenarios are designed based on the current economic situation and the last National Energy and Climate Plan drafts for Portugal and Spain, by distributing the expected new wind and solar generation capacity differently among Portugal regions, also considering the flexible demand for producing electrolytic hydrogen. Market prices, capture prices and production per technology are analysed to assess this impact. Results show that regional investments have no significant impact on the MIBEL variables analysed.

2024

Decarbonized and Inclusive Energy

Authors
Mello, J; Villar, J; Bessa, RJ; Antunes, AR; Sequeira, MM;

Publication
IEEE POWER & ENERGY MAGAZINE

Abstract
Energy Communities (ECS) and Self- consumption structures are receiving significant attention in Europe due to their potential contribution to a sustainable energy transition and the decarbonization process of the energy system. They are considered a powerful instrument to involve end-consumers in active participation in the energy system by becoming self-producers of renewable electricity and increasing their awareness of their potential contribution by adapting their energy behavior to the global or local power system needs. An EC can also contribute to alleviating energy poverty, which occurs when low incomes and poorly efficient buildings and appliances place a high proportion of energy costs on households. The main driver would be the reduction in energy costs obtained if some members agree to share their surplus electricity at a lower price with vulnerable members. Similarly, a renewable EC (REC) can facilitate access to energy assets by sharing the investments among the community members and exploiting existing complementarities. For example, vulnerable members could share their roofs with others to install solar panels in exchange for low-cost electricity. RECs can also help vulnerable members by reducing the barriers to accessing subsidies for building efficiency investments thanks to collective community initiatives, easing information dissemination and helping with bureaucratic processes.

2024

Analysis of the Portuguese and Spanish NECPs using the CEVESA MIBEL market model

Authors
de Oliveira, AR; Collado, JV; Martínez, SD; Lopes, JAP; Saraiva, JT; Campos, FA;

Publication
2024 20TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM 2024

Abstract
The member states of the European Union (EU) are actively reassessing their National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) [1] to jointly address climate challenges and the impacts of the COVID pandemic and gas supply crisis. This study extends the analyses described in [2] by assessing the impact of the updated NECP drafts for Portugal and Spain [3], [4] on the Iberian Electricity Market (MIBEL). For this, we use CEVESA, a market model for the long-term planning and operation of MIBEL that computes the joint dispatch of energy and secondary reserve of the two interconnected single-price zones. Departing from the expected evolution of the electricity generation technologies and demand available in the NECP drafts, joint scenarios for Portugal and Spain are built with the latest CO2 allowances and fuel prices projections and the latest available historical data of hydro and renewable generation profiles. Simulations provide estimates for the expected market prices, technology generation dispatch, and the usage of the capacity of the interconnection lines between both countries, highlighting potential concerns and knowledge on future NECPs.

2020

Flexibility Hub’s dynamic equivalent model: improving the representation of the distribution grid for system planning

Authors
Fulgêncio, N; Silva, B; Villar, J; Moreira, C; Marques, M; Marinho, N; Filipe, NL; Moreira, J; Louro, M; Simões, T;

Publication
IET Conference Publications

Abstract
In an evolving European power system, with increasing shares of renewable energy sources – a high percentage of which connected to the distribution network – an accurate, reliable and up-to-date representation of the distribution network becomes a key tool for transmission and distribution system operators’ coordination. The Flexibility Hub, under development by INESC TEC and EDP, and in the scope of the European Union-funded project EU-SysFlex, offers a service that delivers an enhanced dynamic equivalent model of the distribution network to the transmission system operator. It is a useful tool for planning purposes to enable a better understanding of how the distribution network will behave under large voltage and frequency disturbances at the transmission level. This study describes the overall concept and the methodology, provides an overview of the data management model adopted to interface the involved agents and depicts some relevant scenarios under consideration for testing.

2024

Impact of different regulatory approaches in renewable energy communities: A quantitative comparison of european implementations

Authors
Taromboli, G; Soares, T; Villar, J; Zatti, M; Bovera, F;

Publication
ENERGY POLICY

Abstract
Recently, the uptake of renewable energy has surged in distribution networks, particularly due to the costeffectiveness and modular nature of photovoltaic systems. This has paved the way to a new era of user engagement, embodied by individual and collective self-consumption, and promoted by the EU Directive 2018/ 2001, which advocates for the establishment of Renewable Energy Communities. However, the transposition of this directive varies across Member States, resulting in specific rules for each country. In this work, the impact that different energy sharing models have on the same community is quantitatively assessed. The policy analysis focuses on the regulation of two countries, Italy and Portugal, chosen for the specular ways in which their models operate, respectively virtually and physically. The analysis is supported by a suite of tools which includes two optimization problems for community's operations, one for each analysed regulation, and a set of consumer protection mechanisms, to ensure no member is losing money while in community. Results demonstrate that the sharing model impacts community's optimal operations, optimal battery size and configuration, and members' benefit. As these models are sensitive to different variables, personalized interventions at national level are required.

2024

A joint Cournot equilibrium model for the hydrogen and electricity markets

Authors
Rozas, LAH; Campos, FA; Villar, J;

Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HYDROGEN ENERGY

Abstract
Hydrogen production through renewable energy-powered electrolysis is pivotal for fostering a sustainable future hydrogen market. In the electricity sector, hydrogen production bears an additional demand that affects electricity price, and mathematical models are needed for the joint simulation, analysis, and planning of electricity and hydrogen sectors. This study develops a Cournot and a perfect competition model to analyze the links of the electricity and hydrogen sectors. In contrast to other solving methods approaches, the Cournot model is solved by convex reformulation techniques, substantially easing the resolution. The case studies, focusing on the Iberian Peninsula, demonstrate the region's potential for competitive hydrogen production, and the advantages of perfect competition to maximize the use of renewable energies, in contrast to Cournot's oligopoly, where the exercise of market power raises electricity prices. Sensitivity analyses highlight the importance of strategic decision-making in mitigating market inefficiencies, with valuable insights for stakeholders and policymakers.

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