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Publications

Publications by CEGI

2023

How E-Commerce Companies Can Reduce Returns

Authors
Amorim, P; Calvo, E; Wagner, L;

Publication
MIT SLOAN MANAGEMENT REVIEW

Abstract
[No abstract available]

2023

Mathematical Formulation of Markov Decision Process to Address Maintenance Policy in Photovoltaic Farms

Authors
Bacalhau, ET; Barbosa, F; Casacio, L; Yamada, F; Guimarães, L;

Publication
Proceeding of the 33rd European Safety and Reliability Conference

Abstract

2023

Multiobjective Evolutionary Clustering to Enhance Fault Detection in a PV System

Authors
Yamada, L; Rampazzo, P; Yamada, F; Guimarães, L; Leitão, A; Barbosa, F;

Publication
Springer Proceedings in Mathematics and Statistics

Abstract
Data clustering combined with multiobjective optimization has become attractive when the structure and the number of clusters in a dataset are unknown. Data clustering is the main task of exploratory data mining and a standard statistical data analysis technique used in many fields, including machine learning, pattern recognition, image analysis, information retrieval, and bioinformatics. This project analyzes data to extract possible failure patterns in Solar Photovoltaic (PV) Panels. When managing PV Panels, preventive maintenance procedures focus on identifying and monitoring potential equipment problems. Failure patterns such as soiling, shadowing, and equipment damage can disturb the PV system from operating efficiently. We propose a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm that uses different distance functions to explore the conflicts between different perspectives of the problem. By the end, we obtain a non-dominated set, where each solution carries out information about a possible clustering structure. After that, we pursue a-posteriori analysis to exploit the knowledge of non-dominated solutions and enhance the fault detection process of PV panels. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG.

2023

Electric charging demand forecast and capture for infrastructure placement using gravity modelling: a case study

Authors
Rodrigues, G; Barbosa, F; Schuller, P; Silva, D; Pereira, J; Azevedo, R; Guimaraes, L;

Publication
2023 IEEE 26TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS, ITSC

Abstract
As the demand for electric charging accelerates, so does the stress on the relatively insufficient public charging infrastructure. To appropriately manage and scale charging infrastructure, there is a need for support tools capable of predicting the utilization and sales of charging stations, as well as the traffic flow of users from their original location to the charging stations. Therefore, this article proposes a generic methodology for infrastructure placement, namely forecasting demand and predicting its flow to the supply points. The methodology is applied in a case study to the electric charging grid of Portugal with real data, in the context of the needs of a particular charging point operator (CPO). Demand is first forecasted at a high-granularity level with a demand disaggregation model, followed by its capture by the grid of chargers using a parameterized gravity model. Validation is performed by comparing actual with predicted sales per charging station. Adequate visualizations to support decision-making are presented.

2023

A New Perspective on Supporting Vulnerable Road Users' Safety, Security and Comfort through Personalized Route Planning

Authors
Abrantes, D; Ferreira, MC; Costa, PD; Hora, J; Felício, S; Dias, TG; Coimbra, M;

Publication
International journal of environmental research and public health

Abstract
Due to an increase in population, urban centers are currently seeing an increase in traffic, resulting in negative consequences such as pollution and congestion. Efforts have been made to promote a modal shift towards the use of more sustainable means of transport, such as walking and cycling, but several deterrents influence the citizens' perceptions of safety, security and comfort, discouraging their choice of active modes of transport. This study focuses on the importance of providing meaningful information to vulnerable road users (VRUs) to support their perceptions and objectives while moving within urban spaces through a novel concept of route planning. A broad survey of the needs and concerns of VRUs through interviews, focus groups and questionnaires, applied to the Portuguese population of the Metropolitan Area of Porto, led to the development of a new concept of route planners that show personalized routes according to the individual perceptions of each user. This concept is materialized in a route planner prototype that has been extensively tested by potential users. Subjective evaluation and feedback showed the usefulness of the concept and added value to a familiar product, leading to a satisfying experience for participants. This study shows that there is an opportunity to improve these tools to provide a higher degree of power and customization to users on route planning, which includes addressing mobility restrictions and personal perceptions of safety, security and comfort. The ultimate goal of this new approach is to persuade citizens to switch to more sustainable means of transport.

2023

The Impact of CNG on Buses Fleet Decarbonization: A Case Study

Authors
Oliveira, JPF; Fontes, T; Galvao, T;

Publication
SMART ENERGY FOR SMART TRANSPORT, CSUM2022

Abstract
By 2050, and in the context of decarbonization and carbon neutrality, many companies worldwide are looking for low-carbon alternatives. Transport companies are probably the most challenging due to the continuing growth in global demand and the high dependency on fossil fuels. Some alternatives are emerging to replace conventional diesel vehicles and thus reduce greenhouse gas emissions and air pollutants. One of these alternatives is the adoption of compressed natural gas (CNG). In this paper, we provide a detailed study of the current emissions from the largest bus fleet company in the metropolitan area of Oporto. For this analysis, we used a top-down and a bottom-up methodology based on EMEP/EEA guidebook to compute the CO2 and air pollution (CO, NMVOC, PM2.5, and NOx) emissions from the fleet. Fuel consumption, energy consumption, vehicle slaughter, electric bus incorporation, and the investments made were taken into consideration in the analyses. From the case study, the overall reduction in CO2 emission was just 6.3%, and the emission factors (air pollutants) from CNG-powered buses and diesel-powered buses are closer and closer. For confirming these results and question the effectiveness of the fleet transitions from diesel to CNG vehicles, we analysed two scenarios. The obtained results reveal the potential and effectiveness of electric buses and other fuel alternatives to reduce CO2 and air pollution.

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