2024
Authors
Sena, I; Braga, AC; Novais, P; Fernandes, FP; Pacheco, MF; Vaz, CB; Lima, J; Pereira, AI;
Publication
OPTIMIZATION, LEARNING ALGORITHMS AND APPLICATIONS, PT I, OL2A 2023
Abstract
The Machine Learning approach is used in several application domains, and its exploitation in predicting accidents in occupational safety is relatively recent. The present study aims to apply different Machine Learning algorithms for classifying the occurrence or non-occurrence of accidents at work in the retail sector. The approach consists of obtaining an impact score for each store and work unit, considering two databases of a retail company, the preventive safety actions, and the action plans. Subsequently, each score is associated with the occurrence or non-occurrence of accidents during January and May 2023. Of the five classification algorithms applied, the Support Vector Machine was the one that obtained the best accuracy and precision values for the preventive safety actions. As for the set of actions plan, the Logistic Regression reached the best results in all calculated metrics. With this study, estimating the impact score of the study variables makes it possible to identify the occurrence of accidents at work in the retail sector with high precision and accuracy.
2024
Authors
Borges, LD; Sena, I; Marcelino, V; Silva, FG; Fernandes, FP; Pacheco, MF; Vaz, CB; Lima, J; Pereira, AI;
Publication
OPTIMIZATION, LEARNING ALGORITHMS AND APPLICATIONS, PT I, OL2A 2023
Abstract
Weather change plays an important role in work-related accidents, it impairs people's cognitive abilities, increasing the risk of injuries and accidents. Furthermore, weather conditions can cause an increase or decrease in daily sales in the retail sector by influencing individual behaviors. The increase in transactions, in turn, leads employees to fatigue and overload, which can also increase the risk of injuries and accidents. This work aims to conduct a case study in a company in the retail sector to verify whether the transactions records in stores and the weather conditions of each district in mainland Portugal impact the occurrence of work accidents, as well as to perform predictive analysis of the occurrence or non-occurrence of work accidents in each district using these data and comparing different machine learning techniques. The correlation analysis of the occurrence or non-occurrence of work accidents with weather conditions and some transactions pointed out the nonexistence of correlation between the data. Evaluating the precision and the confusion matrix of the predictive models, the study indicates a predisposition of the models to predict the non-occurrence of work accidents to the detriment of the ability to predict the occurrence of work accidents.
2024
Authors
Vaz, CB; Sena, I; Braga, AC; Novais, P; Fernandes, FP; Lima, J; Pereira, AI;
Publication
OPTIMIZATION, LEARNING ALGORITHMS AND APPLICATIONS, OL2A 2024, PT I
Abstract
Retail transactions represent sales of consumer goods, or final goods, by consumer companies. This sector faces security challenges due to the hustle and bustle of sales, affecting employees' workload. In this context, it is essential to estimate the number of customers who will appear in the store daily so that companies can dynamically adjust employee schedules, aligning workforce capacity with expected demand. This can be achieved by forecasting transactions using past observations and forecasting algorithms. This study aims to compare the ARIMA time series algorithm with several Machine Learning algorithms to predict the number of daily transactions in different store patterns, considering data variability. The study identifies four typical store patterns based on these criteria using daily transaction data between 2019 and 2023 from all retail stores of the leading company in Portugal. Due to data variability and the results obtained, the algorithm that presents the most minor errors in predicting daily transactions is selected for each store. This study's ultimate goal is to fill the gap in forecasting daily customer transactions and present a suitable forecasting model to mitigate risks associated with transactions in retail stores.
2024
Authors
Martins, A; Alves, J; Vaz, C;
Publication
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF TOURISM HOSPITALITY AND RECREATION
Abstract
The main objective of this study is to detect signs of under-invoicing by applying Benford's law to the Portuguese restaurant sector during the COVID-19 pandemic, in the context of government support policies. Between 2020 and 2021, the State adopted several measures to provide additional support to companies that have seen a significant decrease in their activity, namely, a reduction of at least 25% in turnover. A literature review was carried out focusing on the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the companies under analysis, the support measures adopted by the State and, finally, a survey of the theoretical component relating to the application of Benford's law in accounting. The data were collected from the Iberian Balance Sheet Analysis System database for 2019, 2020, and 2021. After analysing the data, significant deviations are observed in several digits, practically for all the compliance tests, both in the analysis of the first digit test and in the analysis of the first two digits test. The results therefore show signs of under-invoicing in 2020 by the analysed companies, which suffered, on average, a 79% reduction in turnover.
2024
Authors
Galvão, A; Vaz, C; Pinheiro, M; Pais, C;
Publication
ARIS2 - Advanced Research on Information Systems Security
Abstract
2024
Authors
Reza, S; Ferreira, MC; Machado, JJM; Tavares, JMRS;
Publication
ANNALS OF MATHEMATICS AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE
Abstract
Road network studies attracted unprecedented and overwhelming interest in recent years due to the clear relationship between human existence and city evolution. Current studies cover many aspects of a road network, for example, road feature extraction from video/image data, road map generalisation, traffic simulation, optimisation of optimal route finding problems, and traffic state prediction. However, analysing road networks as a complex graph is a field to explore. This study presents comparative studies on the Porto, in Portugal, road network sections, mainly of Matosinhos, Paranhos, and Maia municipalities, regarding degree distributions, clustering coefficients, centrality measures, connected components, k-nearest neighbours, and shortest paths. Further insights into the networks took into account the community structures, page rank, and small-world analysis. The results show that the information exchange efficiency of Matosinhos is 0.8, which is 10 and 12.8% more significant than that of the Maia and Paranhos networks, respectively. Other findings stated are: (1) the studied road networks are very accessible and densely linked; (2) they are small-world in nature, with an average length of the shortest pathways between any two roads of 29.17 units, which as found in the scenario of the Maia road network; and (3) the most critical intersections of the studied network are 'Avenida da Boavista, 4100-119 Porto (latitude: 41.157944, longitude: - 8.629105)', and 'Autoestrada do Norte, Porto (latitude: 41.1687869, longitude: - 8.6400656)', based on the analysis of centrality measures.
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