2014
Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Praca, I; Santos, G; Morais, H;
Publication
INTEGRATED COMPUTER-AIDED ENGINEERING
Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multiagent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. This paper presents a methodology to provide decision support to electricity market negotiating players. This model allows integrating different strategic approaches for electricity market negotiations, and choosing the most appropriate one at each time, for each different negotiation context. This methodology is integrated in ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System) - a multiagent system that provides decision support to MASCEM's negotiating agents so that they can properly achieve their goals. ALBidS uses artificial intelligence methodologies and data analysis algorithms to provide effective adaptive learning capabilities to such negotiating entities. The main contribution is provided by a methodology that combines several distinct strategies to build actions proposals, so that the best can be chosen at each time, depending on the context and simulation circumstances. The choosing process includes reinforcement learning algorithms, a mechanism for negotiating contexts analysis, a mechanism for the management of the efficiency/effectiveness balance of the system, and a mechanism for competitor players' profiles definition.
2013
Authors
Pinto, T; Praca, I; Vale, Z; Morais, H; Sousa, TM;
Publication
INTEGRATED COMPUTER-AIDED ENGINEERING
Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting in a dynamic scene. Game-theory has been widely used to support decisions in competitive environments; therefore its application in electricity markets can prove to be a high potential tool. This paper proposes a new scenario analysis algorithm, which includes the application of game-theory, to evaluate and preview different scenarios and provide players with the ability to strategically react in order to exhibit the behavior that better fits their objectives. This model includes forecasts of competitor players' actions, to build models of their behavior, in order to define the most probable expected scenarios. Once the scenarios are defined, game theory is applied to support the choice of the action to be performed. Our use of game theory is intended for supporting one specific agent and not for achieving the equilibrium in the market. MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets) is a multi-agent electricity market simulator that models market players and simulates their operation in the market. The scenario analysis algorithm has been tested within MASCEM and our experimental findings with a case study based on real data from the Iberian Electricity Market are presented and discussed.
2019
Authors
Faia R.; Pinto T.; Vale Z.; Corchado J.M.;
Publication
Energy Informatics
Abstract
In many large-scale and time-consuming problems, the application of metaheuristics becomes essential, since these methods enable achieving very close solutions to the exact one in a much shorter time. In this work, we address the problem of portfolio optimization applied to electricity markets negotiation. As in a market environment, decision-making is carried out in very short times, the application of the metaheuristics is necessary. This work proposes a Hybrid model, combining a simplified exact resolution of the method, as a means to obtain the initial solution for a Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) approach. Results show that the presented approach is able to obtain better results in the metaheuristic search process.
2018
Authors
Soares, J; Pinto, T; Lezama, F; Morais, H;
Publication
COMPLEXITY
Abstract
This survey provides a comprehensive analysis on recent research related to optimization and simulation in the new paradigm of power systems, which embraces the so-called smart grid. We start by providing an overview of the recent research related to smart grid optimization. From the variety of challenges that arise in a smart grid context, we analyze with a significance importance the energy resource management problem since it is seen as one of the most complex and challenging in recent research. The survey also provides a discussion on the application of computational intelligence, with a strong emphasis on evolutionary computation techniques, to solve complex problems where traditional approaches usually fail. The last part of this survey is devoted to research on large-scale simulation towards applications in electricity markets and smart grids. The survey concludes that the study of the integration of distributed renewable generation, demand response, electric vehicles, or even aggregators in the electricity market is still very poor. Besides, adequate models and tools to address uncertainty in energy scheduling solutions are crucial to deal with new resources such as electric vehicles or renewable generation. Computational intelligence can provide a significant advantage over traditional tools to address these complex problems. In addition, supercomputers or parallelism opens a window to refine the application of these new techniques. However, such technologies and approaches still need to mature to be the preferred choice in the power systems field. In summary, this survey provides a full perspective on the evolution and complexity of power systems as well as advanced computational tools, such as computational intelligence and simulation, while motivating new research avenues to cover gaps that need to be addressed in the coming years.
2017
Authors
Rodriguez-Fernandez, J; Pinto, T; Silva, F; Praca, I; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;
Publication
2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence (SSCI)
Abstract
2019
Authors
Pinto, A; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Vale, Z;
Publication
IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
Abstract
Electricity markets are evolving into a local trading setting, which makes it for unexperienced players to achieve good agreements and obtain profits. One of the solutions to deal with this issue is to provide players with decision support solutions capable of identifying opponents' negotiation profiles, so that negotiation strategies can be adapted to those profiles in order to reach the best possible results from negotiations. This paper presents an approach that classifies opponents' proposals during a negotiation, to determine which is the typical negotiation profile in which the opponent most relates. The classification process is performed using an artificial neural network approach, and it is able to adapt at each new proposal during the negotiation process, by re-classifying the opponents' negotiation profile according to the most recent actions. In this way, effective decision support is provided to market players, enabling them to adapt the negotiation strategy throughout the negotiations. © 2019 IEEE.
The access to the final selection minute is only available to applicants.
Please check the confirmation e-mail of your application to obtain the access code.