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Publications

Publications by Tiago Manuel Campelos

2011

Logic programming and fuzzy Monte Carlo for distribution network reconfiguration

Authors
Vale, ZA; Canizes, B; Soares, J; Oliveira, P; Sousa, T; Pinto, T;

Publication
2011 16th International Conference on Intelligent System Applications to Power Systems, ISAP 2011

Abstract
This paper present a methodology to choose the distribution networks reconfiguration that presents the lower power losses. The proposed methodology is based on statistical failure and repair data of the distribution power system components and uses fuzzy-probabilistic modeling for system component outage parameters. The proposed hybrid method using fuzzy sets and Monte Carlo simulation based on the fuzzy-probabilistic models allows catching both randomness and fuzziness of component outage parameters. © 2011 IEEE.

2011

Complex market integration in MASCEM electricity market simulator

Authors
Santos, G; Pinto, T; Morais, H; Praca, I; Vale, Z;

Publication
2011 8th International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM 11

Abstract
The restructuring that the energy sector has suffered in industrialized countries originated a greater complexity in market players' interactions, and thus new problems and issues to be addressed. Decision support tools that facilitate the study and understanding of these markets become extremely useful to provide players with competitive advantage. In this context arises MASCEM, a multi-agent system for simulating competitive electricity markets. To provide MASCEM with the capacity to recreate the electricity markets reality in the fullest possible extent, it is essential to make it able to simulate as many market models and player types as possible. This paper presents the development of the Complex Market in MASCEM. This module is fundamental to study competitive electricity markets, as it exhibits different characteristics from the already implemented market types. © 2011 IEEE.

2011

Multiagent system for adaptive strategy formulation in electricity markets

Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Rodrigues, F; Praca, I; Morais, H;

Publication
IEEE SSCI 2011 - Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - IA 2011: 2011 IEEE Symposium on Intelligent Agents

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments with very particular characteristics. MASCEM is a market simulator developed to allow deep studies of the interactions between the players that take part in the electricity market negotiations. This paper presents a new proposal for the definition of MASCEM players' strategies to negotiate in the market. The proposed methodology is multiagent based, using reinforcement learning algorithms to provide players with the capabilities to perceive the changes in the environment, while adapting their bids formulation according to their needs, using a set of different techniques that are at their disposal. © 2011 IEEE.

2011

Strategic bidding methodology for electricity markets using adaptive learning

Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Rodrigues, F; Morais, H; Praca, I;

Publication
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)

Abstract
The very particular characteristics of electricity markets, require deep studies of the interactions between the involved players. MASCEM is a market simulator developed to allow studying electricity market negotiations. This paper presents a new proposal for the definition of MASCEM players' strategies to negotiate in the market. The proposed methodology is implemented as a multiagent system, using reinforcement learning algorithms to provide players with the capabilities to perceive the changes in the environment, while adapting their bids formulation according to their needs, using a set of different techniques that are at their disposal. This paper also presents a methodology to define players' models based on the historic of their past actions, interpreting how their choices are affected by past experience, and competition. © 2011 Springer-Verlag.

2011

Bid Definition Method for Electricity Markets Based on an Adaptive Multiagent System

Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Rodrigues, F; Morais, H; Praca, I;

Publication
ADVANCES ON PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS OF AGENTS AND MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS

Abstract
Electricity markets are complex environments with very particular characteristics. MASCEM is a market simulator developed to allow deep studies of the interactions between the players that take part in the electricity market negotiations. This paper presents a new proposal for the definition of MASCEM players' strategies to negotiate in the market. The proposed methodology is multi-agent based, using reinforcement learning algorithms to provide players with the capabilities to perceive the changes in the environment, while adapting their bids formulation according to their needs, using a set of different techniques that are at their disposal. Each agent has the knowledge about a different method for defining a strategy for playing in the market, the main agent chooses the best among all those, and provides it to the market player that requests, to be used in the market. This paper also presents a methodology to manage the efficiency/effectiveness balance of this method, to guarantee that the degradation of the simulator processing times takes the correct measure.

2011

A new approach for multi-agent coalition formation and management in the scope of electricity markets

Authors
Pinto, T; Morais, H; Oliveira, P; Vale, Z; Praca, I; Ramos, C;

Publication
ENERGY

Abstract
This paper presents a new methodology for the creation and management of coalitions in Electricity Markets. This approach is tested using the multi-agent market simulator MASCEM, taking advantage of its ability to provide the means to model and simulate VPP (Virtual Power Producers). VPPs are represented as coalitions of agents, with the capability of negotiating both in the market, and internally, with their members, in order to combine and manage their individual specific characteristics and goals, with the strategy and objectives of the VPP itself. The new features include the development of particular individual facilitators to manage the communications amongst the members of each coalition independently from the rest of the simulation, and also the mechanisms for the classification of the agents that are candidates to join the coalition. In addition, a global study on the results of the Iberian Electricity Market is performed, to compare and analyze different approaches for defining consistent and adequate strategies to integrate into the agents of MASCEM. This, combined with the application of learning and prediction techniques provide the agents with the ability to learn and adapt themselves, by adjusting their actions to the continued evolving states of the world they are playing in.

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