2015
Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Praca, I;
Publication
ENERGY
Abstract
Contextualization is critical in every decision making process. Adequate responses to problems depend not only on the variables with direct influence on the outcomes, but also on a correct contextualization of the problem regarding the surrounding environment. Electricity markets are dynamic environments with increasing complexity, potentiated by the last decades' restructuring process. Dealing with the growing complexity and competitiveness in this sector brought the need for using decision support tools. A solid example is MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), whose players' decisions are supported by another multiagent system - ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System). ALBidS uses artificial intelligence techniques to endow market players with adaptive learning capabilities that allow them to achieve the best possible results in market negotiations. This paper studies the influence of context awareness in the decision making process of agents acting in electricity markets. A context analysis mechanism is proposed, considering important characteristics of each negotiation period, so that negotiating agents can adapt their acting strategies to different contexts. The main conclusion is that context-dependant responses improve the decision making process. Suiting actions to different contexts allows adapting the behaviour of negotiating entities to different circumstances, resulting in profitable outcomes.
2015
Authors
Teixeira, B; Silva, F; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Santos, G; Vale, Z;
Publication
IEEE SSCI 2014 - 2014 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - IA 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium on Intelligent Agents, Proceedings
Abstract
This paper presents the Realistic Scenarios Generator (RealScen), a tool that processes data from real electricity markets to generate realistic scenarios that enable the modeling of electricity market players' characteristics and strategic behavior. The proposed tool provides significant advantages to the decision making process in an electricity market environment, especially when coupled with a multi-agent electricity markets simulator. The generation of realistic scenarios is performed using mechanisms for intelligent data analysis, which are based on artificial intelligence and data mining algorithms. These techniques allow the study of realistic scenarios, adapted to the existing markets, and improve the representation of market entities as software agents, enabling a detailed modeling of their profiles and strategies. This work contributes significantly to the understanding of the interactions between the entities acting in electricity markets by increasing the capability and realism of market simulations. © 2014 IEEE.
2015
Authors
Gomes, L; Pinto, T; Faria, P; Vale, Z;
Publication
IEEE SSCI 2014 - 2014 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - IA 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium on Intelligent Agents, Proceedings
Abstract
Multi-agent approaches have been widely used to model complex systems of distributed nature with a large amount of interactions between the involved entities. Power systems are a reference case, mainly due to the increasing use of distributed energy sources, largely based on renewable sources, which have potentiated huge changes in the power systems' sector. Dealing with such a large scale integration of intermittent generation sources led to the emergence of several new players, as well as the development of new paradigms, such as the microgrid concept, and the evolution of demand response programs, which potentiate the active participation of consumers. This paper presents a multi-agent based simulation platform which models a microgrid environment, considering several different types of simulated players. These players interact with real physical installations, creating a realistic simulation environment with results that can be observed directly in the reality. A case study is presented considering players' responses to a demand response event, resulting in an intelligent increase of consumption in order to face the wind generation surplus. © 2014 IEEE.
2015
Authors
Pinto, T; Ramos, S; Sousa, TM; Vale, Z;
Publication
IEEE SSCI 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence - CIDUE 2014: 2014 IEEE Symposium on Computational Intelligence in Dynamic and Uncertain Environments, Proceedings
Abstract
Wind speed forecasting has been becoming an important field of research to support the electricity industry mainly due to the increasing use of distributed energy sources, largely based on renewable sources. This type of electricity generation is highly dependent on the weather conditions variability, particularly the variability of the wind speed. Therefore, accurate wind power forecasting models are required to the operation and planning of wind plants and power systems. A Support Vector Machines (SVM) model for short-term wind speed is proposed and its performance is evaluated and compared with several artificial neural network (ANN) based approaches. A case study based on a real database regarding 3 years for predicting wind speed at 5 minutes intervals is presented. © 2014 IEEE.
2016
Authors
Correia, M; Bentes, I; Pinto, T; Briga Sá, A; Pereira, S; Teixeira, CA;
Publication
REHABEND
Abstract
The energy consumption in the world continues to increase and this fact contributes to rise pollution levels, environmental degradation and global greenhouse emissions. The construction sector is responsible for significant impacts on the environment as it consumes a lot of resources and also produces a lot of waste. One of the main objectives of the green construction is to reduce the environmental impacts by conserving and using resources more efficiently. This type of construction tends to apply natural raw materials. Tabique is a traditional Portuguese building technique applied until 20th century that use earth and wood as construction materials. This old buildings have high durability that requires maintenance and rehabilitation interventions. In this context, the aim of this study is to evaluate the environmental impact of tabique wall. The life cycle analysis is the tool used for the sustainability evaluation and it is carried out according to international standards ISO 14040/44. The adopted functional unit for these materials is the mass of the material required to provide a thermal resistance of 1 m2ºC/W. The calculation of the impacts is done with GaBi software and the CML 2001 impact category is used to define the Global Warming Potential of the study. The results revealed that most significant component of environmental impact of the tabique wall cocerning the category GWP is related with extraction of raw materials process and landfill.
2016
Authors
Fernandes, F; Alves, D; Pinto, T; Takigawa, F; Fernandes, R; Morais, H; Vale, Z; Kagan, N;
Publication
2016 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2016
Abstract
This paper proposes a novel case-based reasoning (CBR) approach to support the intelligent management of energy resources in a residential context. The proposed approach analyzes previous cases of consumption reduction in houses, and determines the amount that should be reduced in each moment and in each context, in order to meet the users' needs in terms of comfort while minimizing the energy bill. The actual energy resources management is executed using the SCADA House Intelligent Management (SHIM) system, which schedules the use of the different resources, taking into account the suggested reduction amount. A case study is presented, using data from Brazilian consumers. Several scenarios are considered, representing different combinations concerning the type of house/inhabitants, the season, the type of used energy tariff, the use of Photovoltaic system (PV) generation, and the maximum amount of allowed reduction. Results show that the proposed CBR approach is able to suggest appropriate amounts of energy reduction, which result in significant reductions of the energy bill, while, with the use of SHIM, minimizing the reduction of users' comfort. © 2016 IEEE.
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