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Publications

Publications by Tiago Manuel Campelos

2014

Data Extraction Tool to Analyse, Transform and Store Real Data from Electricity Markets

Authors
Pereira, IF; Sousa, TM; Praca, I; Freitas, A; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Morais, H;

Publication
DISTRIBUTED COMPUTING AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 11TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

Abstract
The study of electricity markets operation has been gaining an increasing importance in the last years, as result of the new challenges that the restructuring process produced. Currently, lots of information concerning electricity markets is available, as market operators provide, after a period of confidentiality, data regarding market proposals and transactions. These data can be used as source of knowledge to define realistic scenarios, which are essential for understanding and forecast electricity markets behavior. The development of tools able to extract, transform, store and dynamically update data, is of great importance to go a step further into the comprehension of electricity markets and of the behaviour of the involved entities. In this paper an adaptable tool capable of downloading, parsing and storing data from market operators' websites is presented, assuring constant updating and reliability of the stored data.

2014

Reinforcement Learning Based on the Bayesian Theorem for Electricity Markets Decision Support

Authors
Sousa, TM; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Vale, Z; Morais, H;

Publication
DISTRIBUTED COMPUTING AND ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, 11TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE

Abstract
This paper presents the applicability of a reinforcement learning algorithm based on the application of the Bayesian theorem of probability. The proposed reinforcement learning algorithm is an advantageous and indispensable tool for ALBidS (Adaptive Learning strategic Bidding System), a multi-agent system that has the purpose of providing decision support to electricity market negotiating players. ALBidS uses a set of different strategies for providing decision support to market players. These strategies are used accordingly to their probability of success for each different context. The approach proposed in this paper uses a Bayesian network for deciding the most probably successful action at each time, depending on past events. The performance of the proposed methodology is tested using electricity market simulations in MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets). MASCEM provides the means for simulating a real electricity market environment, based on real data from real electricity market operators.

2014

Elspot: Nord Pool Spot Integration in MASCEM Electricity Market Simulator

Authors
Fernandes, R; Santos, G; Praca, I; Pinto, T; Morais, H; Pereira, IF; Vale, Z;

Publication
HIGHLIGHTS OF PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS OF HETEROGENEOUS MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS: THE PAAMS COLLECTION

Abstract
The energy sector in industrialized countries has been restructured in the last years, with the purpose of decreasing electricity prices through the increase in competition, and facilitating the integration of distributed energy resources. However, the restructuring process increased the complexity in market players' interactions and generated emerging problems and new issues to be addressed. In order to provide players with competitive advantage in the market, decision support tools that facilitate the study and understanding of these markets become extremely useful. In this context arises MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets), a multi-agent based simulator that models real electricity markets. To reinforce MASCEM with the capability of recreating the electricity markets reality in the fullest possible extent, it is crucial to make it able to simulate as many market models and player types as possible. This paper presents a new negotiation model implemented in MASCEM based on the negotiation model used in day-ahead market (Elspot) of Nord Pool. This is a key module to study competitive electricity markets, as it presents well defined and distinct characteristics from the already implemented markets, and it is a reference electricity market in Europe (the one with the larger amount of traded power).

2014

Particle Swarm Optimization of Electricity Market Negotiating Players Portfolio

Authors
Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Sousa, TM; Sousa, T; Morais, H; Praca, I;

Publication
HIGHLIGHTS OF PRACTICAL APPLICATIONS OF HETEROGENEOUS MULTI-AGENT SYSTEMS: THE PAAMS COLLECTION

Abstract
Energy systems worldwide are complex and challenging environments. Multi-agent based simulation platforms are increasing at a high rate, as they show to be a good option to study many issues related to these systems, as well as the involved players at act in this domain. In this scope the authors' research group has developed a multi-agent system: MASCEM (Multi-Agent System for Competitive Electricity Markets), which performs realistic simulations of the electricity markets. MASCEM is integrated with ALBidS (Adaptive Learning Strategic Bidding System) that works as a decision support system for market players. The ALBidS system allows MASCEM market negotiating players to take the best possible advantages from each market context. However, it is still necessary to adequately optimize the players' portfolio investment. For this purpose, this paper proposes a market portfolio optimization method, based on particle swarm optimization, which provides the best investment profile for a market player, considering different market opportunities (bilateral negotiation, market sessions, and operation in different markets) and the negotiation context such as the peak and off-peak periods of the day, the type of day (business day, weekend, holiday, etc.) and most important, the renewable based distributed generation forecast. The proposed approach is tested and validated using real electricity markets data from the Iberian operator - MIBEL.

2014

Automatic electricity markets data extraction for realistic multi-agent simulations

Authors
Pereira, IF; Sousa, TM; Praca, I; Freitas, A; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Morais, H;

Publication
Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)

Abstract
Electricity markets worldwide suffered profound transformations. The privatization of previously nationally owned systems; the deregulation of privately owned systems that were regulated; and the strong interconnection of national systems, are some examples of such transformations [1, 2]. In general, competitive environments, as is the case of electricity markets, require good decision-support tools to assist players in their decisions. Relevant research is being undertaken in this field, namely concerning player modeling and simulation, strategic bidding and decision-support. © 2014 Springer International Publishing Switzerland.

2015

MASCEM: EPEX SPOT Day-Ahead market integration and simulation

Authors
Santos, G; Fernandes, R; Pinto, T; Praça, I; Vale, Z; Morais, H;

Publication
2015 18th International Conference on Intelligent System Application to Power Systems, ISAP 2015

Abstract
The energy sector restructuring process in industrialized countries had the aim of reducing electricity prices by increasing competitiveness, and facilitate the integration of distributed energy resources. However, the complexity in market players' interactions has increased, and new problems have emerged. Decision support tools that facilitate the study and comprehension of these markets became extremely useful, providing players with competitive advantage. MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets) arises in this context, modeling and simulating real electricity markets. It is crucial to MASCEM to have the ability to simulate as many market models and player types as possible, thus enhancing the ability to recreate the electricity markets reality in its maximum possible extent. This paper presents the EPEX Spot Day-Ahead market integration in MASCEM. EPEX Spot SE's mission is to lead European markets coupling in a single unified market, thus being crucial for the study of competitive electricity markets. © 2015 IEEE.

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