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Publications

Publications by CPES

2013

Optimization of the operation of hydro stations in market environment using Genetic Algorithms

Authors
Sampaio, GS; Saraiva, JT; Sousa, JC; Mendes, VT;

Publication
International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM

Abstract
This paper describes an approach to the short term operation planning of hydro stations in market environment. The developed approach is based on the solution of an optimization problem to maximize the profit of a generation agent along a planning period discretized in hourly steps using a Genetic Algorithm. This problem includes the possibility of pumping since this is an important resource in the scope of electricity markets. The scheduling problem was developed starting with an initial simplified version in which the head loss is neglected and the head is assumed constant. Then, it was implemented a second model in which the nonlinear relation between the head, the hydro power and the water discharge is retained and finally an approach in which the hydro schedule obtained in a given step is used to update the hourly electricity prices used to compute the profit of the generation agent. The short term hydro scheduling problem is illustrated using two Case Studies - the first one was designed to run a set of initial tests to the developed algorithm and the second one refers to a set of hydro stations that mirrors a cascade of 8 stations in Portugal. © 2013 IEEE.

2013

Transmission Expansion Planning - A Multiyear PSO Based Approach Considering Load Uncertainties

Authors
da Rocha, MC; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
2013 IEEE GRENOBLE POWERTECH (POWERTECH)

Abstract
This paper describes a multiyear dynamic Transmission Expansion Planning, TEP, model to select and schedule along the planning horizon transmission expansion projects taken from a list supplied by the planner. The selection of the most adequate set of projects from this list is driven by the minimization of the investment plus operation costs while enforcing a number of constraints related with technical, financial and reliability issues. The developed approach also admits that nodal loads are modeled by triangular fuzzy numbers as a way to ensure obtaining more robust plans that is plans not only adequate for a deterministic set of future loads but plans that can accommodate load uncertainty. Finally, given the discrete nature of the problem, it was adopted a discrete version of the Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization algorithm, DEPSO, that proved very effective and shows good performance on several tests ran with the IEEE RTS system.

2013

A discrete evolutionary PSO based approach to the multiyear transmission expansion planning problem considering demand uncertainties

Authors
da Rocha, MC; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
This paper presents a multiyear dynamic model to the Transmission Expansion Planning, TEP, problem to identify the most suitable set of projects as well as their scheduling along the planning horizon. The candidate plans are evaluated using a fitness function that incorporates operation and investment costs plus a set of penalty terms. These terms are associated with the level of losses, non-zero values for the power not supplied namely for the entire system and for n - 1 contingencies, financial limits, maximum number of projects to implement in each year or all along the horizon and the capability to accommodate not only the expected demand, but also uncertainties affecting the demand forecasts. Given the discrete nature of the problem, we adopted an enhanced approach of the PSO algorithm to solve it. This includes an evolutionary adaptation of the PSO movement rule as well as several modifications to ensure that along the iterative process each candidate solution is technically feasible given its discrete nature. The paper also reports the results of a set of tests to evaluate several design decisions related with the development of the Discrete Evolutionary PSO, DEPSO, as well as to compare the results of its application to the TEP with results reported by other researchers.

2013

A long term generation expansion planning model using system dynamics - Case study using data from the Portuguese/Spanish generation system

Authors
Pereira, AJC; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH

Abstract
This paper describes a long term generation expansion model that uses system dynamics to capture the interrelations between different variables and parameters. Using this model, it is possible to estimate the long term evolution of the demand and of the electricity price that are then used by generation agents to prepare individual expansion plans. These plans are submitted to a coordination analysis to check some global indicators, as the reserve margin and the LOLE. The developed approach is illustrated using a realistic generation system based on the Portuguese/Spanish system with an installed capacity of nearly 120 GW and an yearly demand of 312 TWh in 2010. Large investments were directed in the last 20 years to the Iberian generation system both regarding traditional technologies and dispersed generation (namely wind parks and solar systems). Today, the excess of installed capacity together with the demand reduction poses a number of questions that should be addressed carefully namely to investigate the impact of several options. The planning exercise aims at identifying the most adequate expansion plans in view of the increased renewable generation (namely wind parks). For illustration purposes, we also conducted a sensitivity analysis to evaluate the impact of increasing the installed capacity in wind parks, of internalizing CO2 emission costs and of incorporating a capacity payment. These analyses are relevant in order to get more insight on the possible long term evolution of the system and to allow generation companies to take more sounded decisions.

2013

Electricity market and renewable energy integration: An agent-based conceptual model

Authors
Sousa, JC; Kokkinogenis, Z; Rossetti, RJF; Saraiva, JT;

Publication
1st International Workshop on Simulation for Energy, Sustainable Development and Environment, SESDE 2013, Held at the International Multidisciplinary Modeling and Simulation Multiconference, I3M 2013

Abstract
The emergence of electricity markets and the opportunities consequently created have radically modified the operation planning activities of Power Systems. As direct result, there is the need for developing new methods to meet in an efficient way the requirements of generation companies, so to respond adequately to new challenges such as market competition. Agent-based models have been proposed in the literature as surrogate to equilibrium models when the problem is too complex to be addressed within a traditional equilibrium framework. Driven by this trend, this paper discusses and proposes a conceptual model following the agent paradigm that deals with the inherent complexity of electricity markets. The devised model proved to be robust enough to represent key features of our study domain and is ready to be actually developed in a computational tool to help generation companies to build their short-medium term operation decisions in a more sounded and robust way.

2013

Impact of Electric Vehicles on the electricity prices and on the load curves of the Iberian Electricity Market

Authors
Goncalves, RL; Saraiva, JT; Sousa, JC; Mendes, VT;

Publication
International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM

Abstract
This paper addresses the impact of the penetration of Electric Vehicles, EV's, in the electricity market prices and on the load curves of the Iberian Electricity Market, established between Portugal and Spain. These impacts are evaluated taking the year of 2011 as reference. For every day of this year, the hourly market data was downloaded from the web site of the Iberian Market Operator and then the bid curves were adequately altered considering the commissioning of new stations under construction or planned till 2020, the planned increasing presence of wind parks and PV stations and the demand increase from end consumers. Then, the hourly demand was further increased to simulate the charging of EV's, admitting several scenarios for the charging periods and for the number of EV's in 2020. Using this information, the hourly selling and buying curves were altered and the hourly market price was then estimated. The paper extensively reports the results obtained for these different scenarios for the horizon of 2020. For the analysed scenarios, the results indicate that the impact of EV's on electricity prices and load curves will depend largely on the number of EV's and in a less significant way on the charging policy that is adopted. © 2013 IEEE.

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