2007
Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Matos, MA;
Publication
Artificial Neural Networks - ICANN 2007, Pt 2, Proceedings
Abstract
This paper describes a research where the main goal was to predict the future values of a time series of the hourly demand of Portugal global electricity consumption in the following day. In a preliminary phase several regression techniques were experimented: K Nearest Neighbors, Multiple Linear Regression, Projection Pursuit Regression, Regression Trees, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). Having the best results been achieved with ANN, this technique was selected as the primary tool for the load forecasting process. The prediction for holidays and days following holidays is analyzed and dealt with. Temperature significance on consumption level is also studied. Results attained support the adopted approach.
2007
Authors
Fidalgo, JN; Torres, JAFM; Matos, M;
Publication
2007 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS APPLICATIONS TO POWER SYSTEMS, VOLS 1 AND 2
Abstract
In a competitive energy market environment, the procedure for fair loss allocation constitutes a matter of considerable importance. This task is often based on rough principles, given the difficulties on the practical implementation of a fairest process. This paper proposes a methodology based on neural networks for the distribution of power distribution losses among the loads. The process is based on the knowledge of load profiles and on the usual consumption measures. Simulations ere carried out for a typical MV network, with an extensive variety of load scenarios. For each scenario, losses were calculated and distributed by the consumers. The allocation criterion is established assuming a distribution proportional to the squared power. Finally, a neural network is trained in order to obtain a fast and accurate losses allocation. Illustrative results support the feasibility of the proposed methodology.
2007
Authors
Keko, H; Jaramillo Duque, A; Miranda, V;
Publication
2007 International Conference on Intelligent Systems Applications to Power Systems, ISAP
Abstract
Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) is a robust optimization algorithm belonging to evolutionary methods. EPSO borrows the movement rules from Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and uses it as a recombination operator that evolves under selection. This paper presents a reactive power planning approach taking advantage of EPSO robustness, in a model that considers simultaneously multiple contingencies and multiple load levels. Results for selected problems are summarized including a trade-off analysis of results.
2007
Authors
Keko, H; Duque, AJ; Miranda, V;
Publication
ENGINEERING INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS FOR ELECTRICAL ENGINEERING AND COMMUNICATIONS
Abstract
Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) is a robust optimization algorithm belonging to evolutionary methods. EPSO borrows the movement rules from Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) and uses it as a recombination operator that evolves under selection. This paper presents a reactive power planning approach taking advantage of EPSO robustness, in a model that considers simultaneously multiple contingencies and multiple load levels. Results for selected problems are summarized including a trade-off analysis of results.
2007
Authors
Miranda, V; Moreira, A; Pereira, J;
Publication
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS
Abstract
This paper describes the concept of a voltage/NAR controller based on an interaction of fuzzy Mamdani controllers, with the main objective of keeping voltages at all busbars inside an admissible band while avoiding line flows to exceed admissible limits. Estimation of sensitivities via fuzzy clustering of load profiles is proposed. A complex rule base interacts with a Newton-Raphson power flow routine in iterative steps until a terminating criterion is met, following a basic min-max approach. Tests to the method reveal it as one order of magnitude faster than a competing simulated annealing routine.
2007
Authors
Miranda, V; Moreira, A; Pereira, J;
Publication
POWERENG2007: INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON POWER ENGINEERING - ENERGY AND ELECTRICAL DRIVES PROCEEDINGS, VOLS 1 & 2
Abstract
This paper applies the concept of fuzzy controller to voltage/VAR control. Cascading Mamdani controllers are used together with sensitivities to keep voltages in an admissible band while avoiding line flows to exceed admissible limits. A small number of iteration steps with a Newton-Raphson power flow routine are enough to recover voltages into admissible bands.
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