2022
Authors
Andrade, JR; Rocha, C; Silva, R; Viana, JP; Bessa, RJ; Gouveia, C; Almeida, B; Santos, RJ; Louro, M; Santos, PM; Ribeiro, AF;
Publication
IEEE ACCESS
Abstract
Network human operators' decision-making during grid outages requires significant attention and the ability to perceive real-time feedback from multiple information sources to minimize the number of control actions required to restore service, while maintaining the system and people safety. Data-driven event and alarm management have the potential to reduce human operator cognitive burden. However, the high complexity of events, the data semantics, and the large variety of equipment and technologies are key barriers for the application of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to raw SCADA data. In this context, this paper proposes a methodology to convert a large volume of alarm events into data mining terminology, creating the conditions for the application of modern AI techniques to alarm data. Moreover, this work also proposes two novel data-driven applications based on SCADA data: (i) identification of anomalous behaviors regarding the performance of the protection relays of primary substations, during circuit breaker tripping alarms in High Voltage (HV) and Medium Voltage (MV) lines; (ii) unsupervised learning to cluster similar events in HV line panels, classify new event logs based on the obtained clusters and membership grade with a control parameter that helps to identify rare events. Important aspects associated with data handling and pre-processing are also covered. The results for real data from a Distribution System Operator (DSO) showed: (i) that the proposed method can detect unexpected relay pickup events, e.g., one substation with nearly 41% of the circuit breaker alarms had an 'atypical' event in their context (revealed an overlooked problem on the electrification of a protection relay); (ii) capability to automatically detect and group issues into specific clusters, e.g., SF6 low-pressure alarms and blocks with abnormal profiles caused by event time-delay problems.
2022
Authors
Sampaio, G; Bessa, RJ; Goncalves, C; Gouveia, C;
Publication
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH
Abstract
The deployment of smart metering technologies in the low voltage (LV) grid created conditions for the application of data-driven monitoring and control functions. However, data privacy regulation and consumers' aversion to data sharing may compromise data exchange between utility and customers. This work presents a data-driven method, based on smart meter data, to estimate linear sensitivity factors for three-phase unbalanced LV grids, which combines a privacy-preserving protocol and varying coefficients linear regression. The proposed method enables centralized and peer-to-peer learning of the sensitivity factors. Potential applications for the sensitivity factors are demonstrated by solving voltage violations or computing operating envelopes in a LV grid without resorting to its network topology or electrical parameters.
2022
Authors
Petropoulos, F; Apiletti, D; Assimakopoulos, V; Babai, MZ; Barrow, DK; Ben Taieb, S; Bergmeir, C; Bessa, RJ; Bijak, J; Boylan, JE; Browell, J; Carnevale, C; Castle, JL; Cirillo, P; Clements, MP; Cordeiro, C; Oliveira, FLC; De Baets, S; Dokumentov, A; Ellison, J; Fiszeder, P; Franses, PH; Frazier, DT; Gilliland, M; Gonul, MS; Goodwin, P; Grossi, L; Grushka Cockayne, Y; Guidolin, M; Guidolin, M; Gunter, U; Guo, XJ; Guseo, R; Harvey, N; Hendry, DF; Hollyman, R; Januschowski, T; Jeon, J; Jose, VRR; Kang, YF; Koehler, AB; Kolassa, S; Kourentzes, N; Leva, S; Li, F; Litsiou, K; Makridakis, S; Martin, GM; Martinez, AB; Meeran, S; Modis, T; Nikolopoulos, K; Onkal, D; Paccagnini, A; Panagiotelis, A; Panapakidis, I; Pavia, JM; Pedio, M; Pedregal, DJ; Pinson, P; Ramos, P; Rapach, DE; Reade, JJ; Rostami Tabar, B; Rubaszek, M; Sermpinis, G; Shang, HL; Spiliotis, E; Syntetos, AA; Talagala, PD; Talagala, TS; Tashman, L; Thomakos, D; Thorarinsdottir, T; Todini, E; Arenas, JRT; Wang, XQ; Winkler, RL; Yusupova, A; Ziel, F;
Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING
Abstract
Forecasting has always been at the forefront of decision making and planning. The uncertainty that surrounds the future is both exciting and challenging, with individuals and organisations seeking to minimise risks and maximise utilities. The large number of forecasting applications calls for a diverse set of forecasting methods to tackle real-life challenges. This article provides a non-systematic review of the theory and the practice of forecasting. We provide an overview of a wide range of theoretical, state-of-the-art models, methods, principles, and approaches to prepare, produce, organise, and evaluate forecasts. We then demonstrate how such theoretical concepts are applied in a variety of real-life contexts. We do not claim that this review is an exhaustive list of methods and applications. However, we wish that our encyclopedic presentation will offer a point of reference for the rich work that has been undertaken over the last decades, with some key insights for the future of forecasting theory and practice. Given its encyclopedic nature, the intended mode of reading is non-linear. We offer cross-references to allow the readers to navigate through the various topics. We complement the theoretical concepts and applications covered by large lists of free or open-source software implementations and publicly-available databases. (C) 2021 The Author( s). Published by Elsevier B.V. on behalf of International Institute of Forecasters.
2022
Authors
Coelho, F; Silva, F; Goncalves, C; Bessa, R; Alonso, A;
Publication
2022 FOURTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON BLOCKCHAIN COMPUTING AND APPLICATIONS (BCCA)
Abstract
This paper presents a data market aimed at trading energy forecasts data. The system architecture is built using blockchain as a service, allowing access to data streams and establishing a distributed settlement between stakeholders. Energy Forecasts data is presented as the commodity traded in the market, whose settlement is provided through the blockchain on the basis of the extracted value provided by market stakeholders. Our proposal allows market stakeholders to acquire energy forecasts and pay according to the data accuracy, solving the confidentiality problem of freely sharing data. A data quality reward is introduced, steering the compensation sent to market participants. The data market design is presented and an evaluation campaign is performed, showing that the data market produced functionally valid results in comparison with the results achieved with a central simulated approach. Moreover, results show that the data market architecture is able to scale.
2022
Authors
Retorta, F; Gouveia, C; Sampaio, G; Bessa, R; Villar, J;
Publication
International Conference on the European Energy Market, EEM
Abstract
This work presents a methodology to segment the MV electric grid into grid zones for which the active power flexibility needs that solve the forecasted voltage and current issues are computed. This methodology enables the Distribution System Operator (DSO) to publish flexibility needs per zones, allowing aggregators to offer flexibility by optimizing their portfolio of resources in each grid zone. A case study is used to support the methodology results and its performance, showing the feasibility of solving grid issues by activating flexibility per grid zones according to the proposed methodology. © 2022 IEEE.
2022
Authors
Sampaio G.; Gouveia C.; Bessa R.; Villar J.; Retorta F.; Carvalho L.; Merckx C.; Benothman F.; Promel F.; Panteli M.; Mourão R.L.; Louro M.; Águas A.; Marques P.;
Publication
IET Conference Proceedings
Abstract
EUniversal project aims to facilitate the use of flexibility services and interlink distribution system's active management with electricity markets. Implementing market-based flexibility services implies a change in distribution network monitoring and control towards a more predictive approach. However, integrating cost-effective monitoring and control tools for the LV network is still quite challenging. Within the project, a set of operation and planning tools have been developed for a coordinated quantification and activation of flexibility in HV, MV and LV distribution networks. The paper presents the tools developed for the Portuguese pilot and shows preliminary results obtained when considering network operation scenarios characterized by large scale integration of DER and EV.
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