2022
Authors
Alves, PM; Filipe, RA; Malheiro, B;
Publication
EXPERT SYSTEMS
Abstract
Telecommunication operators compete not only for new clients, but, above all, to maintain current ones. The modelling and prediction of the top-up behaviour of prepaid mobile subscribers allows operators to anticipate customer intentions and implement measures to strengthen customer relationship. This research explores a data set from a Portuguese operator, comprising 30 months of top-up events, to predict the top-up monthly frequency and average value of prepaid subscribers using offline and online multi-target regression algorithms. The offline techniques adopt a monthly sliding window, whereas the online techniques use an event sliding window. Experiments were performed to determine the most promising set of features, analyse the accuracy of the offline and online regressors and the impact of sliding window dimension. The results show that online regression outperforms the offline counterparts. The best accuracy was achieved with adaptive model rules and a sliding window of 500,000 events (approximately 5 months). Finally, the predicted top-up monthly frequency and average value of each subscriber were converted to individual date and value intervals, which can be used by the operator to identify early signs of subscriber disengagement and immediately take pre-emptive measures.
2022
Authors
Malheiro, Benedita; Guedes, Pedro; Duarte, Abel J.; Silva, Manuel F.; Ferreira, Paulo;
Publication
CASHE – Conference Academic Success in Higher Education: Proceedings Book
Abstract
Motivation is the key to academic success. In the case of engineering, autonomous project teamwork guided by ethics and sustainability concerns acts as a major student motivator. Moreover, it empowers students to become lifelong learners and agents of sustainable development. Engineering schools can thus address simultaneously these two essential education goals – learning and academic success – by challenging students to find innovative, sustainable solutions in a learner-centred set-up.This paper describes how the European Project Semester (EPS), a capstone engineering programme offered by the Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto (ISEP), combines challenge-based learning, ethics and sustainability-driven problem-solving, and international multidisciplinary teamwork to achieve both goals.
2022
Authors
Barbosa, S; Scotto, MG;
Publication
WEATHER AND CLIMATE EXTREMES
Abstract
Extreme summer temperatures in the Iberia Peninsula are analyzed from ERA5-Land reanalysis data based on an extreme value mixture model combining a Normal distribution for the bulk distribution (i.e. for the non-extreme values) and a Generalized Pareto Distribution for the extremes in the upper tail. This approach allows to treat the threshold of temperature exceedances as being one of model parameters rather than fixed a priori, enabling to take into account its corresponding uncertainty. Extreme value mixture models are estimated individually for each location, and the analysis is performed separately for two distinct periods, namely from 1981 to 2000 and from 2000 to 2019, respectively. The results show significant differences in the extreme value mixture models for the two periods, and in their corresponding 20-year return levels. The mean of the bulk distribution of summer maximum temperature increases significantly, particularly in Eastern Iberia. The largest differences in the tails of the data distribution between the two periods occur in the eastern Mediterranean area, and are characterized by a significant increase in the threshold for temperature exceedances and in their corresponding return levels.
2022
Authors
Barbosa, S; Matos, J; Azevedo, E;
Publication
Abstract
2022
Authors
Tabbett, J; Aplin, K; Barbosa, S;
Publication
Abstract
2022
Authors
Barbosa, SM; Dias, N; Almeida, C; Silva, GA; Ferreira, A; Camilo, A; Silva, E;
Publication
Abstract
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