2023
Authors
Alves, IM; Carvalho, LM; Lopes, JAP;
Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS
Abstract
This paper proposes a novel probabilistic model for quantifying the impact of demand flexibility (DF) on the long-term generation system adequacy via Sequential Monte Carlo Simulation (SMCS) method. Unlike load shedding, DF can be considered an important instrument to postpone bulk consumption from periods with limited reserves to periods with more generating capacity available, avoiding load shedding and increasing the integration of variable renewable generation, such as wind power. DF has been widely studied in terms of its contribution to the system's social welfare, resulting in numerous innovative approaches ranging from the flexibility modeling of individual electric loads to the definition of aggregation strategies for optimally deploying this lever in competitive markets. To add to the current state-of-the-art, a new model is proposed to quantify DF impact on the traditional reliability indices, such as the Loss of Load Expectation (LOLE) and the Expected Energy Not Supplied (EENS), enabling a new perspective for the DF value. Given the diverse mechanisms associated with DF of different consumer types, the model considers the uncertainties associated with the demand flexibility available in each hour of the year and with the rebound effect, i.e., the subsequent change of consumption patterns following a DF mobilization event. Case studies based on a configuration of the IEEE-RTS 79 test system with wind power demonstrate that the DF can substantially improve the reliability indices of the static and operational reserve while decreasing the curtailment of variable generation cause by unit scheduling priorities or by short-term generation/demand imbalances.
2024
Authors
Santos, BH; Lopes, JP; Carvalho, L; Matos, M; Alves, I;
Publication
ENERGY STRATEGY REVIEWS
Abstract
Portugal made a climate commitment when it ratified the Paris Climate Agreement in 2015. As a result, Portugal, along with other EU members, has created a national roadmap for the deployment of hydrogen as a crucial component of Portugal ' s energy transition towards carbon neutrality, creating synergies between the electric and gas systems. The increased variability of generation from variable renewable power sources will create challenges regarding the security of supply, requiring investment in storage solutions to minimize renewable energy curtailment and to provide dispatchability to the electric power system. Hydrogen can be a renewable energy carrier capable of ensuring not only the desired transformation of the infrastructures of the gas system but also an integrator of the Electric System, such as in Power -to -Power (P2P) systems. Hydrogen can be produced with a surplus of renewable electricity from wind and solar, allowing a long-term energy seasonal storage strategy, namely by using underground salt caverns, to be subsequently transformed into electricity when demand cannot be supplied due to a shortage of renewable generation from solar or wind. P2P investments are capital intensive and require the development of transitional regulation mechanisms to both create opportunities to market agents while fostering the energy surplus valuation and decreasing the energy dependency. In order to maintain the electric system ' s security of supply, the suggested methodology innovatively manages the importance of seasonal storage of renewable energy surplus using hydrogen in power systems. It suggests a novel set of regulatory strategies to foster the creation of a P2P solution that maintains generation adequacy while assisting in decarbonising the electric power industry. Such methodology combines long-term adequacy assessment with regulatory framework evaluation to evaluate the cost of the proposed solutions to the energy system. A case study based on the Portuguese power system outlook between 2030 and 2040 demonstrates that the considerable renewable energy surplus can be stored as hydrogen and converted back into electricity to assure adequate security of supply levels throughout the year with economic feasibility under distinct public policy models.
2024
Authors
Herding, L; Carvalho, L; Cossent, R; Rivier, M;
Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS
Abstract
Hosting capacity (HC) describes the electricity network's ability to accommodate distributed generation (DG) without deteriorating electrical performance indicators. Distribution system operators typically express their networks' HC as a single threshold, called static hosting capacity (SHC). SHC is determined via conservative regulatory criteria, increasing connection costs and time. This paper explores the potential for additional energy injection into the network via dynamic hosting capacity (DHC). A network node's DHC is derived from the hourly operation of the network, accounting for the time variability of existing distributed generation (DG) output and demand. The methodology considers the network assets' N-1 contingencies and their probabilities, defining the security-aware DHC (SDHC). The SDHC definition is technologically neutral. Through a case study of a radial medium voltage distribution network, the paper highlights the significant limitations of SHC due to conservative calculation criteria mandated by regulators. Annual injectable energy is increased by 62% to 76% when comparing DHC to SHC. Variations between average DHC and SDHC are below 0.01% due to low N-1 probabilities. This finding points out the potential of dynamic hosting capacity definitions, allowing more efficient use of the existing network and facilitating the integration of new DG capacity with reduced connection costs and time.
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