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Publications

Publications by Carlos Manuel Soares

2024

Multidimensional subgroup discovery on event logs

Authors
Ribeiro, J; Fontes, T; Soares, C; Borges, JL;

Publication
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS

Abstract
Subgroup discovery (SD) aims at finding significant subgroups of a given population of individuals characterized by statistically unusual properties of interest. SD on event logs provides insight into particular behaviors of processes, which may be a valuable complement to the traditional process analysis techniques, especially for low -structured processes. This paper proposes a scalable and efficient method to search significant SD rules on frequent sequences of events, exploiting their multidimensional nature. With this method, it is intended to identify significant subsequences of events where the distribution of values of some target aspect is significantly different than the same distribution for the entire event log. A publicly available real -life event log of a Dutch hospital is used as a running example to demonstrate the applicability of our method. The proposed approach was applied on a real -life case study based on the public transport of a medium size European city (Porto, Portugal), for which the event data consists of 133 million smartcard travel validations from buses, trams and trains. The results include a characterization of mobility flows over multiple aspects, as well as the identification of unexpected behaviors in the flow of commuters (public transport). The generated knowledge provided a useful insight into the behavior of travelers, which can be applied at operational, tactical and strategic business levels, enhancing the current view of the transport services to transport authorities and operators.

2021

Machine Learning Informed Decision-Making with Interpreted Model's Outputs: A Field Intervention

Authors
Zejnilovic L.; Lavado S.; Soares C.; de Rituerto De Troya Í.M.; Bell A.; Ghani R.;

Publication
81st Annual Meeting of the Academy of Management 2021: Bringing the Manager Back in Management, AoM 2021

Abstract
Despite having set the theoretical ground for explainable systems decades ago, the information system scholars have given little attention to new developments in the decision-making with humans-in-the-loop in real-world problems. We take the sociotechnical system lenses and employ mixed-method analysis of a field intervention to study the machine-learning informed decision-making with interpreted models' outputs. Contrary to theory, our results suggest a small positive effect of explanations on confidence in the final decision, and a negligible effect on the decisions' quality. We uncover complex dynamic interactions between humans and algorithms, and the interplay of algorithmic aversion, trust, experts' heuristic, and changing uncertainty-resolving condititions.

2015

Understanding Rankings of Financial Analysts

Authors
Aiguzhinov, A; Serra, APSFM; Soares, C;

Publication
SSRN Electronic Journal

Abstract

2015

Are Rankings of Financial Analysts Useful to Investors?

Authors
Aiguzhinov, A; Serra, AP; Soares, C;

Publication
SSRN Electronic Journal

Abstract

2022

On the joint-effect of class imbalance and overlap: a critical review

Authors
Santos, MS; Abreu, PH; Japkowicz, N; Fernandez, A; Soares, C; Wilk, S; Santos, J;

Publication
ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE REVIEW

Abstract
Current research on imbalanced data recognises that class imbalance is aggravated by other data intrinsic characteristics, among which class overlap stands out as one of the most harmful. The combination of these two problems creates a new and difficult scenario for classification tasks and has been discussed in several research works over the past two decades. In this paper, we argue that despite some insightful information can be derived from related research, the joint-effect of class overlap and imbalance is still not fully understood, and advocate for the need to move towards a unified view of the class overlap problem in imbalanced domains. To that end, we start by performing a thorough analysis of existing literature on the joint-effect of class imbalance and overlap, elaborating on important details left undiscussed on the original papers, namely the impact of data domains with different characteristics and the behaviour of classifiers with distinct learning biases. This leads to the hypothesis that class overlap comprises multiple representations, which are important to accurately measure and analyse in order to provide a full characterisation of the problem. Accordingly, we devise two novel taxonomies, one for class overlap measures and the other for class overlap-based approaches, both resonating with the distinct representations of class overlap identified. This paper therefore presents a global and unique view on the joint-effect of class imbalance and overlap, from precursor work to recent developments in the field. It meticulously discusses some concepts taken as implicit in previous research, explores new perspectives in light of the limitations found, and presents new ideas that will hopefully inspire researchers to move towards a unified view on the problem and the development of suitable strategies for imbalanced and overlapped domains.

2022

On Usefulness of Outlier Elimination in Classification Tasks

Authors
Hetlerovic, D; Popelínský, L; Brazdil, P; Soares, C; Freitas, F;

Publication
Advances in Intelligent Data Analysis XX - 20th International Symposium on Intelligent Data Analysis, IDA 2022, Rennes, France, April 20-22, 2022, Proceedings

Abstract

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