Abstract
State estimation (SE) has been considered the fulcrum of advanced computer-aided tools used to monitor, control, and optimise the performance of power grids. It is destined for the provision of a consistent real-time dataset, free of compromising errors. To the SE eye, observability is the faculty of seeing the actual system operating state. As such, it is vital to evaluate this faculty, especially in quantitative terms. Drawing a parallel between the financial market (in which investment grades - intended to signal the suitability of an investment - are assigned by credit rating agencies) and SE arena, this study proposes the establishment of observation grades. With a view to performing a reliable SE, these are defined as ratings capable of indicating that a measurement system (devoted to observing the state of a power grid under many different conditions), has a seal of approval, i.e. relatively low risk of being unsuccessful. The methodology proposed to express observation grades is based on the Monte Carlo simulation approach. The availability of measurement units and grid branches are adequately considered. Numerical results of a proof of concept study performed on the 24- and 118-bus benchmark systems illustrate the application and expected benefits of the proposed methodology.

Abstract
In order to reduce the curtailment of renewable generation in periods of low load, operators can limit the import net transfer capacity (NTC) of interconnections. This paper presents a probabilistic approach to support the operator in setting the maximum import NTC value in a way that the risk of curtailment remains below a pre-specified threshold. Main inputs are the probabilistic forecasts of wind power and solar PV generation, and special care is taken regarding the tails of the global margin distribution (all generation all loads and pumping), since the accepted thresholds are generally very low. Two techniques are used for this purpose: interpolation with exponential functions and nonparametric estimation of extreme conditional quantiles using extreme value theory. The methodology is applied to five representative days, where situations ranging from high maximum NTC values to NTC=0 are addressed. Comparison of the two techniques for modeling tails is also comprised.

Abstract
The solar power penetration in distribution grids is growing fast during the last years, particularly at the low-voltage (LV) level, which introduces new challenges when operating distribution grids. Across the world, distribution system operators (DSO) are developing the smart grid concept, and one key tool for this new paradigm is solar power forecasting. This paper presents a new spatial-temporal forecasting method based on the vector autoregression framework, which combines observations of solar generation collected by smart meters and distribution transformer controllers. The scope is 6-h-ahead forecasts at the residential solar photovoltaic and medium-voltage (MV)/LV substation levels. This framework has been tested in the smart grid pilot of vora, Portugal, and using data from 44 microgeneration units and 10 MV/LV substations. A benchmark comparison was made with the autoregressive forecasting model (AR-univariate model) leading to an improvement on average between 8% and 10%.

Abstract
Acoustic emission monitoring is often used in the diagnosis of electrical and mechanical incipient faults in the high voltage apparatus. Partial discharges are a major source of insulation failure in electric power transformers, and the differentiation from other sources of acoustic emission is of the utmost importance. This paper reports the development of a new sensor concept - a fiber laser sensor based on a phase-shifted chirped fiber grating - for the acoustic emission detection of incipient faults in oil-filled power transformers. These sensors can be placed in the inner surface of the transformer tank wall, not affecting the insulation integrity of the structure and improving fault detection and location. The performance of the sensing head is characterized and compared for different surrounding media: air, water, and oil. The results obtained indicate the feasibility of this sensing approach for the industrial development of practical solutions. © 2012 The Author(s).

Abstract
This paper presents an orthogonal implementation for power system state estimators based on the Maximum Correntropy Criterion (MCC). The proposed approach leads to a numerically robust estimator which exhibits self -healing properties, in the sense that gross errors in analog measurements are automatically rejected. As a consequence, robust estimates are produced without the need of running the state estimator again after bad data identification and removal. Numerical robustness is achieved by means of a specialized orthogonal algorithm based on fast Givens Rotations, which is able to handle the dynamic measurement weighting mechanism implied by the Parzen window concept associated to MCC. Results for a 3 -bus test system are presented to properly illustrate the Correntropy principles, and several case studies conducted on the IEEE 30 -bus and 57 -bus benchmark systems are used to validate the proposed methodology.

Abstract
This paper discusses mechanisms for establishing an efficient decentralized methodology for the reconstruction of topology in power systems. The maximum mutual information criterion is proposed as a selection criterion for the inputs of a distributed topology estimator, based on mosaic of local auto-associative neural networks. The proposed concepts offer some strong theoretical support for an information theoretic perspective on power system state estimation. The results are confirmed by extensive tests conducted on the IEEE RTS 24-bus system.