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About

About

Born in 1967 in Madrid, José Villar is senior researcher at the Centre for Energy Systems of INESC TEC since 2017, and currently responsible for the Electricity Markets area that is dedicated to the modelling and regulation of electricity markets in a context of decarbonization and decentralisation of the energy system. PhD from the "Escuela Técnica Superior de Ingenieria-ICAI" of the "Universidad Pontificia Comillas" (Madrid) in 1997, he was member of the "Instituto de Investigación Tecnológica -IIT" of the same university and sub-director from 2004 to 2016, and Associate Professor until 2017 at the same university. He has participated in more than 80 research projects with industry and administrations, and has coauthored more than 140 research papers in international journals and conferences. His areas of interest focus on modelling and regulation of electricity markets, integration of renewable energy sources and decentralisation of the energy system.

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Details

Details

  • Name

    José Villar
  • Role

    Area Manager
  • Since

    01st September 2016
037
Publications

2026

Assessing Green Hydrogen Support Mechanisms in Coupled Electricity and Hydrogen Markets

Authors
Herrero Rozas, LA; Campos, FA; Villar, J;

Publication

Abstract
Green hydrogen is expected to play an important role for decarbonizing hard-to-abate sectors but faces regulatory, economic, and operational barriers. In the EU, strict renewable energy usages requirements and temporal and geographical criteria constrain green hydrogen production and complicate integration with electricity markets. Support mechanisms (SMs), such as premiums and quotas, aim to boost hydrogen production, yet their impacts on coupled electricity-hydrogen systems remain underexplored. This paper extends a previous joint electricity-hydrogen Cournot equilibrium model to represent and analyze the impact of different green hydrogen production SMs. Different SMs lead to different equilibrium models that were solved using equivalent quadratic optimization problems and applied to real-size Iberian case studies. Results reveal how different SMs influence hydrogen and electricity prices, production and emissions, highlighting trade-offs among stakeholders. The findings provide guidance for designing balanced policies that stimulate green hydrogen while minimizing unintended consequences and offer flexible tools to assess regulatory and economic interactions in emerging hydrogen markets

2026

Co-optimizing Energy and Reserve Interconnection Capacity in Coupled EU Electricity Markets

Authors
de Oliveira, AR; Martínez, SD; Villar, J; Saraiva, JT; Campos, FA;

Publication
Energy

Abstract

2025

Cost-Effective Indoor Temperature Control Strategies for Smart Home Applications

Authors
Javadi, MS; Soares, TA; Villar, JV; Faria, AS;

Publication
2025 IEEE International Conference on Environment and Electrical Engineering and 2025 IEEE Industrial and Commercial Power Systems Europe (EEEIC / I&CPS Europe)

Abstract
This paper deals with cost-effective strategies for controlling indoor temperature using different technologies, including inverter-based and thermostatic control systems. In this regard, the indoor temperature control model incorporates instant heat loss coefficient, heat transfer capability, and heat energy conversion coefficient. The decision variable is the power setpoint of the energy conversion system, which can be operated in both cooling and heating modes. The thermal system coefficients have been estimated based on historical data for energy consumption, indoor, and outdoor temperatures of the case study presented, which are the minimal datasets required for the coefficient estimation. The inverter-based model benefits from the quasi-continuous power consumption model, while the thermostatic model has a hysteresis functionality resulting in discrete power consumption with several turn-on and turn-off modes, which can be controlled by changing the thresholds. The flexible thermal range resulted in 4.715% and 6.235% cost reductions for thermostat-based and inverter-driven heat pumps, respectively. © 2025 Elsevier B.V., All rights reserved.

2025

The impact of contracts on hydrogen and electricity markets under a joint Cournot equilibrium

Authors
Rozas, LAH; Campos, FA; Villar, J;

Publication
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF HYDROGEN ENERGY

Abstract
Volatility in energy prices, alongside the European Commission's decarbonization strategy, has led to reforming the European electricity market and the creation of a hydrogen strategy. Hydrogen and electricity have a symbiotic relationship: hydrogen production through electrolysis relies on electricity, while its production provides flexibility to the power system utilizing renewable energy surpluses. This research provides a joint electricity and hydrogen market model based on Cournot equilibrium, solved with an equivalent optimization problem, incorporating contracts for both goods. Results for the MIBEL show that contracts increase market competition, reduce prices, and enhance renewable energy utilization. Wholesale electricity and hydrogen prices decrease by 10 % and 8 %, respectively, while electrolytic hydrogen production rises by 10 %. Profits increase by over 20 %, with the hydrogen sector doubling its gains. The model also identifies contract prices that ensure profitability and emissions reduction. These findings highlight the potential of PPAs and HPAs to support energy transition goals.

2025

Analysis of the New Portuguese and Spanish NECPs using CEVESA market model

Authors
de Oliveira, AR; Martínez, SD; Collado, JV; Bessa, TF; Saraiva, JT; Campos, FA; de Morais, RG; Dávila-Isidoro, B;

Publication
2025 21ST INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
The recent updates of the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) for Portugal and Spain have some significant changes compared to the previous 2019 versions, especially for the Portuguese side where a greater demand and renewable generation capacity are foreseen. This work assesses the impact of these new plans on the Iberian electricity market (MIBEL) main outcomes using CEVESA market model. Simulation results allow the analysis of the expected generation mix and prices, CO2 emissions, system cost, system adequacy, interconnections capacity usage, H2 demand impact and its contribution to provide balancing flexibility, under different simulation scenarios.