2025
Authors
Loureiro, ALD; Miguéis, VL; Costa, Á; Ferreira, M;
Publication
Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services
Abstract
The retention of public transport users is widely acknowledged as a paramount challenge in the path towards the establishment of more sustainable cities and societies. In this setting, in which no contractual relationship with customers exists, an early and accurate prediction of whether a customer will remain with the company or leave, assumes great significance for businesses to develop effective retention strategies. This work focuses on this topic by identifying potential churners based on their past travel behavior. To achieve this, we developed a set of classification models using various machine learning techniques. These models were then employed as base learners within a stacking ensemble. All classifiers were developed with a profit-driven approach, optimizing for expected maximum profit. Finally, we calculated Shapley Additive Explanation values to enhance the interpretability of the proposed classifiers. The performance of the predictive models was evaluated using the data of taxi services recorded in a Portuguese city for 52 months. A broad range of predictors is proposed, including recency and frequency measures of taxi usage as well as others related to customers' satisfaction level. The predictive power of the models was also assessed for specific proportions of higher risk customers. All models have shown the capability to identify churners accurately. This study innovates in evaluating the one-to-one service provider company-customer relationship in the context of taxi industry. Retention actions to promote customers loyalty and enhance retention are also suggested. © 2025 The Author(s)
2025
Authors
SAMUL, J; e CUNHA, JF;
Publication
Scientific Papers of Silesian University of Technology. Organization and Management Series
Abstract
2025
Authors
D'Inverno, G; Santos, JV; Camanho, AS;
Publication
INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS IN OPERATIONAL RESEARCH
Abstract
Health system performance assessment (HSPA) is essential for health planning and to improve population health. One of the HSPA domains is related to effectiveness, which can be represented considering different dimensions. Composite indicators can be used to summarize complex constructs involving several indicators. One example of such efforts is the Healthcare Access and Quality Index from the Global Burden of Diseases Study, in which different causes of mortality amenable to health care are summarized in this index through principal component analysis and exploratory factor analysis. While these approaches use the variance of the indicators, marginal improvement is not considered, that is, the distance to the best practice frontier. In this study we propose an innovative benefit-of-the-doubt approach to combine frontier analysis and composite indicators, using amenable mortality estimates for 188 countries. In particular, we include flexible aggregating weighting schemes and a robust and conditional approach. The dual formulation gives information on the peers and the potential mortality rate reduction targets considering the background conditions. In absolute terms, Andorra and high-income countries are the most effective regarding healthcare access and quality, while sub-Saharan African and South Asian countries are the least effective. North African and Middle Eastern countries benefit the most when epidemiological patterns, geographical proximity, and country development status are considered.
2025
Authors
Mergoni, A; Camanho, A; Soncin, M; Agasisti, T; De Witte, K;
Publication
European Journal of Operational Research
Abstract
2025
Authors
Santos, CS; Amorim-Lopes, M;
Publication
BMC MEDICAL RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
Abstract
Background This scoping review systematically maps externally validated machine learning (ML)-based models in cancer patient care, quantifying their performance, and clinical utility, and examining relationships between models, cancer types, and clinical decisions. By synthesizing evidence, this study identifies, strengths, limitations, and areas requiring further research. Methods The review followed the Joanna Briggs Institute's methodology, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for Scoping Reviews guidelines, and the Population, Concept, and Context mnemonic. Searches were conducted across Embase, IEEE Xplore, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science (January 2014-September 2022), targeting English-language quantitative studies in Q1 journals (SciMago Journal and Country Ranking > 1) that used ML to evaluate clinical outcomes for human cancer patients with commonly available data. Eligible models required external validation, clinical utility assessment, and performance metric reporting. Studies involving genetics, synthetic patients, plants, or animals were excluded. Results were presented in tabular, graphical, and descriptive form. Results From 4023 deduplicated abstracts and 636 full-text reviews, 56 studies (2018-2022) met the inclusion criteria, covering diverse cancer types and applications. Convolutional neural networks were most prevalent, demonstrating high performance, followed by gradient- and decision tree-based algorithms. Other algorithms, though underrepresented, showed promise. Lung and digestive system cancers were most frequently studied, focusing on diagnosis and outcome predictions. Most studies were retrospective and multi-institutional, primarily using image-based data, followed by text-based and hybrid approaches. Clinical utility assessments involved 499 clinicians and 12 tools, indicating improved clinician performance with AI assistance and superior performance to standard clinical systems. Discussion Interest in ML-based clinical decision-making has grown in recent years alongside increased multi-institutional collaboration. However, small sample sizes likely impacted data quality and generalizability. Persistent challenges include limited international validation across ethnicities, inconsistent data sharing, disparities in validation metrics, and insufficient calibration reporting, hindering model comparison reliability.
2025
Authors
Fernandes, D; Neves-Moreira, F; Amorim, P;
Publication
Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review
Abstract
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