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Publicações

2026

Dynamic and probabilistic material flow analysis for circular economy strategies in the photovoltaic sector

Autores
Jorio, M; Amaral, A; Ferreira, P;

Publicação
ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY

Abstract
The rapid expansion of solar photovoltaic (SPV) systems poses critical challenges to material supply security and waste management. Addressing these challenges require integrating circular economy strategies. This study develops a dynamic and probabilistic material flow analysis (MFA) to quantify the lifecycle material flows of crystalline silicon (c-Si) modules from 1998 to 2050, with waste projections extended to 2099. Three circular economy scenarios are evaluated, integrating the European Union Directive targets and strategies for reducing, reusing, and recycling. Uncertainty is explicitly addressed through Monte Carlo simulation, capturing variability in installed capacity projections, Weibull lifetime parameters, material composition, pre-operational losses, and recycling efficiencies. Portugal is used as a national-scale case study to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed methodology. Results indicate a cumulative material requirement of approximately 1.46 Mt by 2050 without circular strategies. Across low-, medium-, and high-circularity scenarios, both total material demand and the share of primary versus secondary raw materials vary substantially. Notably, scenarios incorporating reuse may increase primary material extraction due to reduced availability of secondary materials for manufacturing. Deterministic analysis suggests that full c-Si loop closure can be achieved between 2039 and 2041, depending on the scenario. However, probabilistic results reveal substantial uncertainty, with the probability of 100% Circular Material Use Rate (CMUR) in the period 2030-2050 among 53.7%, 43.6% and 68.6% under low, medium, and high circularity respectively. Sensitivity analysis identifies future c-Si's deployment and lifetimes as the dominant drivers of circularity outcomes. This probabilistic MFA contributes with robust evidence to support circular economy policy design and infrastructure planning while opening avenues for further research.

2026

When to adopt Demand-Responsive Transport systems instead of regular public transport

Autores
Dauer, A; Dias, TG; de Sousa, JP; Athayde Prata, BD;

Publicação
Transportation Research Procedia

Abstract
Demand Responsive Transport (DRT) systems provide versatile transport operations and are capable of quickly adjusting to fluctuating passenger demand. Unlike traditional public transport (PT), which operates with fixed routes and schedules, DRTs offer flexibility in vehicle routes, fleet sizes, and schedules. This flexibility is an intrinsic characteristic of DRT systems and a key attribute in their design and associated decision-making processes. However, flexibility also presents significant design challenges, due to the multitude of potential configurations and the unique characteristics of each service area. As practice shows, the effectiveness of DRT configurations is heavily influenced by demand levels. Highly flexible operations are typically suited for low-demand areas, whereas higher demand may require reduced flexibility to maintain system efficiency. Furthermore, demand may grow to a point where the operators may question whether to continue operating as a DRT or shift to traditional regular public transport, with predefined routes and schedules, and more efficient operation. This work studies how demand levels and characteristics can be used in the decision to adopt a DRT system, instead of PT. The problem was addressed through the simulation of various demand scenarios in a virtual environment, thus comparing the performance of the different transport systems. In the scenario analysed, it was possible to identify a demand threshold where the DRT system is more efficient, while higher demand favours the fixed-route system. However, it is important to note that this threshold may be significantly influenced by the specific characteristics of the service area where the system will operate. Copyright © 2025. Published by Elsevier B.V.

2026

MultiFlow: An Ambient Intelligence Digital Twin

Autores
Torres, D; Peixoto, E; Carneiro, D; Palumbo, G; Alves, V;

Publicação
Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems

Abstract
Ambient intelligence (AmI) refers to environments where smart devices, sensors, and AI-driven systems work seamlessly to enhance human interactions with their surroundings. Through the combination of real-time data, context-awareness, and adaptive learning, AmI enables environments to respond proactively to user needs, improving efficiency, comfort, and decision-making. However, since AmI systems are inherently human-centric and often operate autonomously, they must be designed with robust ethical, privacy, and safety considerations. Ensuring that these systems function reliably, fairly, and without harm is crucial, especially in sensitive domains like healthcare, security, and smart infrastructure. This work introduces a novel tool, conceptualized as an AmI Digital Twin, which allows developers to simulate or monitor AmI data streams, and develop and thoroughly test AmI applications before and during their real use. Built on a modular architecture leveraging technologies like React.js, Node.js, Kafka, Faust, MongoDB, InfluxDB, Grafana, and Docker, the platform ensures adaptability to different application environments, scalability, and ease of deployment. Besides the description of the tool itself, we provide some early validation results in common AmI tasks such as anomaly and concept drift detection. The tool is available in a public repository, and comes pre-packaged with a set of applications for AmI use-cases. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.

2026

A Human-Centered MATLAB Application for Synchronizing Polysomnographic Signals and Video in REM Sleep Analysis

Autores
Guedes, J; Gouveia, M; Sequeira, AF; Pereira, T; Oliveira, HP; Amorim, P; Santos, DF;

Publicação
HCII (20)

Abstract
Rapid Eye Movement (REM) sleep is marked by intense brain activity coupled with muscular atonia. When this mechanism fails, abnormal behaviors may occur, often indicating REM Sleep Behavior Disorder (RBD) and serving as an early marker of neurodegenerative diseases. Reliable confirmation of such events requires both polysomnographic (PSG) signals and video observation, but synchronizing these modalities outside laboratory settings remains a challenge. This work presents a MATLAB application that integrates European Data Format (EDF) signals with MP4 recordings through an intuitive graphical interface. The system enables simultaneous navigation of electrophysiological data and video, supported by signal preprocessing, artifact reduction, and timeline synchronization. Researchers can use the tool to align multimodal recordings and collaboratively review events with clinicians, ensuring more consistent interpretation. By bridging technical and clinical perspectives, the application reduces manual workload, supports longitudinal studies, and promotes reproducibility in multimodal sleep research. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2026.

2026

SPATA: Systematic Pattern Analysis for Detailed and Transparent Data Cards

Autores
Vitorino, J; Maia, E; Praça, I; Soares, C;

Publicação
MACHINE LEARNING AND PRINCIPLES AND PRACTICE OF KNOWLEDGE DISCOVERY IN DATABASES, ECML PKDD 2025, PT III

Abstract
Due to the susceptibility of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to data perturbations and adversarial examples, it is crucial to perform a thorough robustness evaluation before any Machine Learning (ML) model is deployed. However, examining a model's decision boundaries and identifying potential vulnerabilities typically requires access to the training and testing datasets, which may pose risks to data privacy and confidentiality. To improve transparency in organizations that handle confidential data or manage critical infrastructure, it is essential to allow external verification and validation of Al without the disclosure of private datasets. This paper presents Systematic Pattern Analysis (SPATA), a deterministic method that converts any tabular dataset to a domain-independent representation of its statistical patterns, to provide more detailed and transparent data cards. SPATA computes the projection of each data instance into a discrete space where they can be analyzed and compared, without risking data leakage. These projected datasets can be reliably used for the evaluation of how different features affect ML model robustness and for the generation of interpretable explanations of their behavior, contributing to more trustworthy AI.

2026

Seaport Energy Management System Considering Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Autores
Rezende, I; Soares, T; Carrillo-Galvez, A; Carmo, F; Mourao, Z; Araújo, JP; Bandeira, E;

Publicação
SMART GRIDS AND SUSTAINABLE ENERGY

Abstract
The increasing energy demand in seaport operations, driven by electrification and decarbonisation targets, requires enhanced tools for operational planning and flexibility management. This paper proposes a novel centralised Energy Management System designed for seaports, which, unlike previous approaches that mainly focused on cost minimisation jointly optimises Battery Energy Storage System scheduling, energy and reserve market participation, and carbon-intensity reduction. A key contribution of this work is the integration of CO\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$_2$$\end{document} emission forecasts and day-ahead market data into a multi-objective formulation, allowing the Energy Management System not only to minimise operational costs but also to reduce indirect emissions. Additionally, a Traffic Light system is proposed to support operators' decision-making by providing actionable flexibility guidelines. A case study based on real-world data from the Port of Sines shows that this method achieves at least an 17% reduction on an annual basis compared to baseline operations, while ensuring cost efficiency. Results highlight the Energy Management System's potential as a decision-support tool for port authorities seeking to align operational efficiency with sustainability goals.

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