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Publicações

Publicações por HumanISE

2017

Application of a Hybrid Neural Fuzzy Inference System to Forecast Solar Intensity

Autores
Silva, F; Teixeira, B; Teixeira, N; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Vale, Z;

Publicação
Proceedings - International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications, DEXA

Abstract
This paper presents a proposal for the use of the Hybrid Fuzzy Inference System algorithm (HyFIS) as solar intensity forecast mechanism. Fuzzy Inference Systems (FIS) are used to solve regression problems in various contexts. The HyFIS is a method based on FIS with the particular advantage of combining fuzzy concepts with Artificial Neural Networks (ANN), thus optimizing the learning process. This algorithm is part of several other FIS algorithms implemented in the Fuzzy Rule-Based Systems (FRBS) package of R. The ANN algorithms and Support Vector Machine (SVM), both widely used for solving regression problems, are also used in this study to allow the comparison of results. Results show that HyFIS presents higher performance when compared to the ANN and SVM, when applied to real data of Florianopolis, Brazil, which helps to reinforce the potential of this algorithm in solving the solar intensity forecasting problems. © 2016 IEEE.

2017

Portfolio Optimization for Electricity Market Participation with NPSO-LRS

Autores
Faia, R; Pinto, T; Vale, Z;

Publicação
Proceedings - International Workshop on Database and Expert Systems Applications, DEXA

Abstract
Massive changes in electricity markets have occurred during the last years, as a consequence of the massive introduction of renewable energies. These changes have led to a restructuring process that had an impact throughout the electrical industry. The case of the electricity markets is a relevant example, where new forms of trading emerged and new market entities were created. With these changes, the complexity of electricity markets increased as well, which brought out the need from the involved players for adequate support to their decision making process. Artificial intelligence plays an important role in the development of these tools. Multi-agent systems, in particular, have been largely explored by stakeholders in the sector. Artificial intelligence also provides intelligent solutions for optimization, which enable troubleshooting in a short time and with very similar results to those achieved by deterministic techniques, which usually result from very high execution times. The work presented in this paper aims at solving a portfolio optimization problem for electricity markets participation, using an approach based on NPSO-LRS (New Particle Swarm Optimization with Local Random Search). The proposed method is used to assist decisions of electricity market players. © 2016 IEEE.

2017

Reserve Costs Allocation Model for Energy and Reserve Market Simulation

Autores
Pinto, T; Gazafroudi, A; Prieto-Castrillo, F; Santos, G; Silva, F; Corchado, JM; Vale, Z;

Publicação
2017 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INTELLIGENT SYSTEM APPLICATION TO POWER SYSTEMS (ISAP)

Abstract
This paper proposes a new model to allocate reserve costs among the involved players, considering the characteristics of the several entities, and the particular circumstances at each moment. The proposed model is integrated in the Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets (MASCEM), which enables complementing the multi-agent simulation of diverse electricity market models, by including the joint simulation of energy and reserve markets. In this context, the proposed model allows allocating the payment of reserve costs that result from the reserve market. A simulation based on real data from the Iberian electricity market - MIBEL, is presented. Simulation results show the advantages of the proposed model in sharing the reserve costs fairly and accordingly to the different circumstances. This work thus contributes the study of novel market models towards the evolution of power and energy systems by adapting current models to the new paradigm of high penetration of renewable energy generation.

2017

Lighting Consumption Optimization using Fish School Search Algorithm

Autores
Faria, P; Pinto, A; Vale, Z; Khorram, M; Neto, FBD; Pinto, T;

Publicação
2017 IEEE SYMPOSIUM SERIES ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE (SSCI)

Abstract
Electricity consumption has increased all around the world in the last decades. This has caused a rise in the use of fossil fuels and in the harming of the environment. In the past years the use of renewable energies and reduction of consumption has growth in order to deal with that problem. The change in the production paradigm led to an increasing search of ways to shorten consumption and adapt to the production. One of the solutions for this problem is to use Demand Response systems. Lighting systems have a major role in electricity consumption, so they are very suitable to be applied in a Demand Response system, optimizing their use. This optimization can be made in different ways being one of them by using a heuristic algorithm. This paper focuses on the use of Fish School Search algorithm to optimize a lighting system, in order to understand its capability of dealing with a problem of this nature and compare it with other algorithms to evaluate its performance.

2017

Hybrid Particle Swarm Optimization of Electricity Market Participation Portfolio

Autores
Faia, R; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
2017 IEEE SYMPOSIUM SERIES ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE (SSCI)

Abstract
This paper proposes a novel hybrid particle swarm optimization methodology to solve the problem of optimal participation in multiple electricity markets. The decision time is usually very important when planning the participation in electricity markets. This environment is characterized by the time available to take action, since different electricity markets have specific rules, which requires participants to be able to adapt and plan their decisions in a short time. Using metaheuristic optimization, participants' time problems can be resolved, because these methods enable problems to be solved in a short time and with good results. This paper proposes a hybrid resolution method, which is based on the particle swarm optimization metaheuristic. An exact mathematical method, which solves a simplified, linearized, version of the problem, is used to generate the initial solution for the metaheuristic approach, with the objective of improving the quality of results without representing a significant increase of the execution time.

2017

Energy Consumption Forecasting using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems: Thales TRT building case study

Autores
Jozi, A; Pinto, T; Praca, I; Ramos, S; Vale, Z; Goujon, B; Petrisor, T;

Publicação
2017 IEEE SYMPOSIUM SERIES ON COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE (SSCI)

Abstract
Electrical energy consumption forecasting is, nowadays, essential in order to deal with the new paradigm of consumers' active participation in the power and energy system. The uncertainty related to the variability of consumption is associated to numerous factors, such as consumers' habits, the environmental temperature, luminosity, etc. Current forecasting methods are not suitable to deal with such a combination of input variables, with often highly variable influence on the outcomes of the actual energy consumption. This paper presents a study on the application of five different methods based on fuzzy rule-based systems. This type of method is able to find associations between the distinct input variables, thus creating rules that support and improve the actual forecasting process. A case study is presented, showing the results of applying these five methods to predict the consumption of a real building: the Thales TRT building, in France.

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