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Publicações

Publicações por João Mendes Moreira

2014

Improving a simulated soccer team's performance through a Memory-Based Collaborative Filtering approach

Autores
Abreu, PH; Silva, DC; Almeida, F; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING

Abstract
Collaborative filtering techniques have been used for some years, almost exclusively in Internet environments, helping users find items they are expected to like by using the user's past purchases to provide such recommendations. With this concept in mind, this research uses a collaborative filtering technique to automatically improve the performance of a simulated soccer team. Many studies have attempted to address this problem over the last years but none has shown meaningful improvements in the performance of the soccer team. Using a collaborative filtering technique based on nearest neighbors and the FC Portugal team as the test subject (in the context of the RoboCup 2D Simulation League), several simulations were run for matches against different teams with much better, better and worse performance than FC Portugal. The strategy used by FC Portugal was to combine 8 set-plays and 2 team formations. The simulation results revealed an improvement in performance between 32% and 384%. In the future, there are plans to expand this approach to other contexts, such as the 3D Simulation League.

2016

Human Activity Recognition by Means of Online Semi-supervised Learning

Autores
Cardoso, HL; Moreira, JM;

Publicação
IEEE 17th International Conference on Mobile Data Management, MDM 2016, Porto, Portugal, June 13-16, 2016 - Workshops

Abstract

2016

Combining Recommendation Systems with a Dynamic Weighted Technique

Autores
Henriques, PM; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
2016 ELEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DIGITAL INFORMATION MANAGEMENT (ICDIM 2016)

Abstract
Recommender systems represent user preferences for items that the user might be interested to view or purchase. These systems have become extremely common in electronic commerce, providing relevant suggestions and directing users towards those items that best meet their needs and preferences. Different techniques have been analysed including content-based, collaborative and hybrid approaches. The last one is used to improve performance prediction combining different recommender systems using the best features of each method, smoothing problems as cold-start. We evaluate our ensemble method using MovieLens dataset with promising results.

2015

A Comparative Study of Regression and Classification Algorithms for Modelling Students' Academic Performance

Autores
Strecht, P; Cruz, L; Soares, C; Moreira, JM; Abreu, R;

Publicação
Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Educational Data Mining, EDM 2015, Madrid, Spain, June 26-29, 2015

Abstract

2016

Churn Perdiction in the Telecom Business

Autores
Esteves, G; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
2016 ELEVENTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON DIGITAL INFORMATION MANAGEMENT (ICDIM 2016)

Abstract
Telecommunication companies are acknowledging the existing connection between customer satisfaction and company revenues. Customer churn in telecom refers to a customer that ceases his relationship with a company. Churn prediction in telecom has recently gained substantial interest of stakeholders, who noticed that retaining a customer is substantially cheaper that gaining a new one. This research compares six approaches using different algorithms that identify the clients who are closer to abandon their telecom provider. Those algorithms are: KNN, Naive Rayes, C4.5, Random Forest, AdaBoost and ANN. The use of real data provided by WeDo technologies extended the refinement time necessary, but ensured that the developed algorithm and model can be applied to real world situations. The models are evaluated according to three criteria: are under curve, sensitivity and specificity, with special weight to the first two criteria. The Random Forest algorithm proved to be the most adequate in all the test cases.

2018

Enhancing traffic model of big cities: Network Skeleton & Reciprocity

Autores
Bhanu, M; Chandra, J; Mendes Moreira, J;

Publicação
2018 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON COMMUNICATION SYSTEMS & NETWORKS (COMSNETS)

Abstract
Handling major challenges like traffic volume estimation, mobility pattern detection and feature extraction in mobility network usually form a weak balance among them. Most of the works are focused towards one of these areas which fail in improving altogether. In this paper, we present a model with modified conventional methods meeting all three above challenges to an extent. Extracting new temporal & directional feature, we introduce Reciprocity metric. It proves to be more informative and efficient in capturing mobility pattern of the network than existing metrics. We introduce the idea of network skeleton which is a reduced form of mobility network but captures approx 90% of its inherent characteristics. Network Skeleton can extract higher level of information from the network while enhancing network's short-term predictability. Our work has the following steps: 1) extracting and building "link reciprocity", a more informative feature; 2) pattern detection in random mobility introduced by "convergence of mobility network"; and 3) estimation of network skeleton formed using a link based approach for short-term forecasting. Our network convergence method outperforms conventional approaches and detects active regions at a very fast rate compared to other approaches. Long ShortTerm Memory (LSTM), a kind of Recursive Neural Networks (RNN) capable of learning long-term dependencies is used to estimate network traffic. Indicating link based network-skeleton helps to reduce short-term forecasting error up to 6% and 3/4 times in different time-slots. Our network skeleton approach can be used to meet the general problems of the traffic-rules formulation by characterizing important routes (links), detecting regions of high importance in less time and predicting short-term traffic volume in a more accurate way. Moreover, network skeleton with reduced network-size can be easily operable with existing methodologies, which is another essential contribution of our work.

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