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Publicações

Publicações por LIAAD

2016

Volatility Leveraging in Heart Rate: health vs disease

Autores
Rocha, AP; Leite, A; Silva, ME;

Publicação
2016 COMPUTING IN CARDIOLOGY CONFERENCE (CINC), VOL 43

Abstract
Heart Rate Variability (HRV) data exhibit long memory and time-varying conditional variance (volatility). These characteristics are well captured using Fractionally Integrated AutoRegressive Moving Average (ARFIMA) models with Generalised AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (GARCH) errors, which are an extension of the AR models usual in the analysis of HRV. GARCH models assume that volatility depends only on the magnitude of the shocks and not on their sign, meaning that positive and negative shocks have a symmetric effect on volatility. However, HRV recordings indicate further dependence of volatility on the lagged shocks. This work considers Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) models which assume that positive and negative shocks have an asymmetric effect (leverage effect) on the volatility, thus better copping with complex characteristics of HRV. ARFIMA-EGARCH models, combined with adaptive segmentation, are applied to 24 h HRV recordings of 30 subjects from the Noltisalis database: 10 healthy, 10 patients suffering from congestive heart failure and 10 heart transplanted patients. Overall, the results for the leverage parameter indicate that volatility responds asymmetrically to values of HRV under and over the mean. Moreover, decreased leverage parameter values for sick subjects, suggest that these models allow to discriminate between the different groups.

2016

Modeling volatility in Heat Rate Variability

Autores
Leite, A; Silva, ME; Rocha, AP;

Publicação
2016 38TH ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE OF THE IEEE ENGINEERING IN MEDICINE AND BIOLOGY SOCIETY (EMBC)

Abstract
Modeling Heart Rate Variability (HRV) data has become important for clinical applications and as a research tool. These data exhibit long memory and time-varying conditional variance (volatility). In HRV, volatility is traditionally estimated by recursive least squares combined with short memory AutoRegressive (AR) models. This work considers a parametric approach based on long memory Fractionally Integrated AutoRegressive Moving Average (ARFIMA) models with heteroscedastic errors. To model the heteroscedasticity nonlinear Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (GARCH) and Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic (EGARCH) models are considered. The latter are necessary to model empirical characteristics of conditional volatility such as clustering and asymmetry in the response, usually called leverage in time series literature. The ARFIMA-EGARCH models are used to capture and remove long memory and characterize conditional volatility in 24 hour HRV recordings from the Noltisalis database.

2016

Self-exciting threshold binomial autoregressive processes

Autores
Moeller, TA; Silva, ME; Weiss, CH; Scotto, MG; Pereira, I;

Publicação
ASTA-ADVANCES IN STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

Abstract
We introduce a new class of integer-valued self-exciting threshold models, which is based on the binomial autoregressive model of order one as introduced by McKenzie (Water Resour Bull 21:645-650, 1985. doi:. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this class of models are discussed. Moreover, parameter estimation and forecasting are addressed. Finally, the performance of these models is illustrated through a simulation study and an empirical application to a set of measle cases in Germany.

2016

Predicting Business Bankruptcy: A Comprehensive Case Study

Autores
Sarmento, R; Trigo, L; Fonseca, L;

Publicação
IJSODIT

Abstract

2016

An unsupervised classification process for large datasets using web reasoning

Autores
Peixoto, R; Hassan, T; Cruz, C; Bertaux, A; Silva, N;

Publicação
Proceedings of the ACM SIGMOD International Conference on Management of Data

Abstract
Determining valuable data among large volumes of data is one of the main challenges in Big Data. We aim to extract knowledge from these sources using a Hierarchical Multi-Label Classification process called Semantic HMC. This process automatically learns a label hierarchy and classifies items from very large data sources. Five steps compose the Semantic HMC process: Indexation, Vectorization, Hierarchization, Resolution and Realization. The first three steps construct automatically the label hierarchy from data sources. The last two steps classify new items according to the label hierarchy. This paper focuses in the last two steps and presents a new highly scalable process to classify items from huge sets of unstructured text by using ontologies and rule-based reasoning. The process is implemented in a scalable and distributed platform to process Big Data and some results are discussed. © 2016 ACM.

2016

Special Issue JOMS - Journal of Medical Systems, 2016 on Agent-Empowered HealthCare Systems

Autores
Abreu, PH; Silva, DC; Schumacher, MI; Reis, LP; Faria, BM; Ito, M;

Publicação
JOURNAL OF MEDICAL SYSTEMS

Abstract

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