2016
Autores
Pinho, JM; Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
ADVANCES IN MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY XXX
Abstract
Sales forecasts gained more importance in the retail industry with the increasing of promotional activity, not only because of the considerable portion of products under promotion but also due to the existence of promotional activities, which boost product sales and make forecasts more difficult to obtain. This study is performed with real data from a Portuguese consumer goods retail company, from January 2012 until April 2015. To achieve the purpose of the study, dynamic regression is used based on information of the focal product and its competitors, with seasonality modelled using Fourier terms. The selection of variables to be included in the model is done based on the lowest value of AIC in the train period. The forecasts are obtained for a test period of 30 weeks. The forecasting models overall performance is analyzed for the full period and for the periods with and without promotions. The results show that our proposed dynamic regression models with price and promotional information of the focal product generate substantially more accurate forecasts than pure time series models for all periods studied.
2016
Autores
Fernandes, JD; Crispim, J;
Publicação
INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON ENTERPRISE INFORMATION SYSTEMS/INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROJECT MANAGEMENT/INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON HEALTH AND SOCIAL CARE INFORMATION SYSTEMS AND TECHNOLOGIES, CENTERIS/PROJMAN / HCIST 2016
Abstract
The scarcity of federal resources allocated to the Ministry of Defense causes the need for Brazilian Armed Forces to implement strategies that may allow achieving "more with less". For the Navy of Brazil, this strategy includes the need to improve and implement risk management tools and techniques in large defense projects. In this sense, the present study aims at contributing to this process through the design and validation of a synthetic risk model for military shipbuilding, containing the main risk events, causes and associated effects that may affect the success of these projects, in terms of costs and deadlines. This model will help in the prediction and control of these variables and their possible effects, enabling the anticipation of responses and the reduction of uncertainty. (C) 2016 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V.
2016
Autores
Fernandes, JD; Crispim, J;
Publicação
PROCEEDINGS OF THE 3RD INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROJECT EVALUATION (ICOPEV 2016)
Abstract
This paper describes the process of formulation and validation of a synthetic risk network model for the Brazilian military shipbuilding industry. This model is composed of risk events and their potential causes that will be the basis of the process of identification and analysis of future risks on similar projects. This process involved an extensive literature review to collect and list an initial catalogue of risks, causes and related effects, followed by an analysis to summarise and schematically group the risks. Then, the Delphi method with a panel of experts from the Brazilian Navy was used to analyse and assess the proposed model.
2016
Autores
Homayouni, SM; Tang, SH;
Publicação
WMU JOURNAL OF MARITIME AFFAIRS
Abstract
Increasing demand for containerization compels container terminals to improve their performance. Uncoordinated scheduling of operations is one of the main factors accounting for poor performance at automated container terminals (ACTs). To increase land utilization efficiency and lower operational times, a new storage system called the split-platform automated storage/retrieval system (SP-AS/RS) has been introduced for temporary storage of containers. This paper describes a multi-objective mixed-integer programming (MIP) model that is based on a combination of multiple interacting sub-tasks. It is aimed at optimizing the integrated scheduling of handling and storage operations in ACTs. The MIP model objective function is to minimize delays in the loading/unloading tasks of the cranes and the travel time of vehicles and platforms in the SP-AS/RS. At the same time, a simulated annealing algorithm (SAA) that provides near-optimal solutions for the problem in a reasonable computation time is appraised. The results of this study show that the objective function of the MIP model is, on average, 58 % lower than that of the non-integrated scheduling method. On the other hand, the best objective function values obtained by the SAA indicate only a 3.7 % disadvantage in comparison with optimal values determined by the MIP model, demonstrating that the SAA is able to provide near-optimal solutions for the integrated scheduling of handling and storage operations.
2016
Autores
Cândido, AC; Wielevick, PF; Zimmermann, RA;
Publicação
Revista de Negócios
Abstract
2016
Autores
Zimmermann, R; Ferreira, LMDF; Moreira, AC;
Publicação
SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT-AN INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL
Abstract
Purpose - The importance of innovation as a generator of competitive advantage and the collaborative nature of this process are recurring themes in the literature. This paper aims to contribute to the improvement of knowledge about the relationship between supply chains and the innovation process by means of a systematic literature review. Methodology/approach - The method used consists of the identification, selection, analysis and synthesis of existing research on the subject and aims to ensure that the review is transparent, auditable and replicable. This paper presents the analysis of 94 papers from 37 journals and the major contributions are explored. Findings - The identification and analysis of relevant articles showed the complexity, timeliness and the wide-ranging character of the theme. The analysis of articles allowed the identification of facilitators of the innovation process, as well as five approaches applicable to supply chains to drive the innovation process. From these analyses, a model synthesising the main practices identified for improving innovation performance is presented. Research limitations/implications - When carrying out literature reviews, the selection of articles might be considered subjective. To circumvent this limitation, the papers have been assessed by three researchers. Practical implications - The results presented can be applied in the decision-making process by managers in the areas of innovation and supply chain. Originality/value - This paper synthesises knowledge involving the relationships between supply chains and the innovation process. The analysis is based on quantitative and qualitative criteria.
The access to the final selection minute is only available to applicants.
Please check the confirmation e-mail of your application to obtain the access code.