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Publicações

Publicações por Tiago Manuel Campelos

2018

Optimization of Multiple Electricity Markets Participation Using Evolutionary PSO

Autores
Faia, R; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
Proceedings of the IEEE Power Engineering Society Transmission and Distribution Conference

Abstract
Electric power systems have undergone major changes in recent years. Electricity markets are one of the sectors that has been most affected by these changes. Electricity market design is being updated in order to support efficient operation and investments incentives. However, the development of efficient rules is neither easy nor guaranteed. This paper addresses the simulation of multi-participation in electric energy markets. The purpose of this simulation is to offer solutions to electricity market players, in order to support their decisions on future participation situations. For this, artificial intelligence techniques will be used, namely for forecasting and optimization processes. In specific, an optimization approach based on Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO) is proposed. The achieved results are compared to those of a deterministic resolution method, and of the classical Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). Results show that the proposed approach is able to achieve higher mean and maximum objective function results than the classical PSO, with a smaller standard deviation. The execution time is higher than using PSO, but still very fast when compared the deterministic method. The case study is based on real data from the Iberian electricity market. © 2018 IEEE.

2018

Strategic Particle Swarm Inertia Selection for Electricity Markets Participation Portfolio Optimization

Autores
Faia, R; Pinto, T; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
Applied Artificial Intelligence

Abstract
The portfolio optimization is a well-known problem in the areas of economy and finance. This problem has also become increasingly important in electrical power systems, particularly in the area of electricity markets, mostly due to the growing number of alternative/complementary market types that are being introduced to deal with important issues, such as the massive integration of renewable energy sources in power systems. The optimization of electricity market players’ participation portfolio comprises significant time constraints, which cannot be satisfied by the use of deterministic techniques. For this reason, meta-heuristic solutions are used, such as particle swarm optimization. The inertia is one of the most important parameter in this method, and it is the main focus of this paper. This paper studies 18 popular inertia calculation strategies, by comparing their performance in the portfolio optimization problem. A strategic methodology for the automatic selection of the best inertia calculation method for the needs of each optimization is also proposed. Results show that the proposed approach is able to automatically adapt the inertia parameter according to the needs in each execution. © 2018, © 2018 Taylor & Francis.

2018

Reputation computational model to support electricity market players energy contracts negotiation

Autores
Rodriguez Fernandez, J; Pinto, T; Silva, F; Praça, I; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
Communications in Computer and Information Science

Abstract
The negotiation is one of the most important phase of the process of buying and selling energy in electricity markets. Buyers and sellers know about their own trading behavior or the quality of their products. However, they can also gather data directly or indirectly from them through the exchange information before or during negotiation, even negotiators should also gather information about past behavior of the other parties, such as their trustworthiness and reputation. Hence, in this scope, reputation models play a more important role in decision-making process in the undertaken bilateral negotiation. Since the decision takes into account, not only the potential economic gain for supported player, but also the reliability of the contracts. Therefore, the reputation component represents the level of confidence that the supported player can have on the opponent’s service, i.e. in this case, the level of assurance that the opponent will fulfil the conditions established in the contract. This paper proposes a reputation computational model, included in DECON, a decision support system for bilateral contract negotiation, in order to enhance the decision-making process regarding the choice of the most suitable negotiation parties. © 2018, Springer International Publishing AG, part of Springer Nature.

2017

Bilateral contract prices estimation using a Q-leaming based approach

Autores
Fernandez, JR; Pinto, T; Silva, F; Praça, I; Vale, ZA; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
2017 IEEE Symposium Series on Computational Intelligence, SSCI 2017, Honolulu, HI, USA, November 27 - Dec. 1, 2017

Abstract
The electricity markets restructuring process encouraged the use of computational tools in order to allow the study of different market mechanisms and the relationships between the participating entities. Automated negotiation plays a crucial role in the decision support for energy transactions due to the constant need for players to engage in bilateral negotiations. This paper proposes a methodology to estimate bilateral contract prices, which is essential to support market players in their decisions, enabling adequate risk management of the negotiation process. The proposed approach uses an adaptation of the Q-Learning reinforcement learning algorithm to choose the best from a set of possible contract prices forecasts that are determined using several methods, such as artificial neural networks (ANN), support vector machines (SVM), among others. The learning process assesses the probability of success of each forecasting method, by comparing the expected negotiation price with the historic data contracts of competitor players. The negotiation scenario identified as the most probable scenario that the player will face during the negotiation process is the one that presents the higher expected utility value. This approach allows the supported player to be prepared for the negotiation scenario that is the most likely to represent a reliable approximation of the actual negotiation environment. © 2017 IEEE.

2018

Energy flexibility assessment of a multi agent-based smart home energy system

Autores
Gazafroudi, AS; Pinto, T; Prieto Castrillo, F; Corchado, JM; Abrishambaf, O; Jozi, A; Vale, Z;

Publicação
2017 IEEE 17th International Conference on Ubiquitous Wireless Broadband, ICUWB 2017 - Proceedings

Abstract
Power systems worldwide are complex and challenging environments. The increasing necessity for an adequate integration of renewable energy sources is resulting in a rising complexity in power systems operation. Multi-agent based simulation platforms have proven to be a good option to study the several issues related to these systems. In a smaller scale, a home energy management system would be effective for the both sides of the network. It can reduce the electricity costs of the demand side, and it can assist to relieve the grid congestion in peak times. This paper represents a domestic energy management system as part of a multi-agent system that models the smart home energy system. Our proposed system consists of energy management and predictor systems. This way, homes are able to transact with the local electricity market according to the energy flexibility that is provided by the electric vehicle, and it can manage produced electrical energy of the photovoltaic system inside of the home. © 2017 IEEE.

2019

Context aware Q-Learning-based model for decision support in the negotiation of energy contracts

Autores
Rodriguez Fernandez, J; Pinto, T; Silva, F; Praca, I; Vale, Z; Corchado, JM;

Publicação
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ELECTRICAL POWER & ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
Automated negotiation plays a crucial role in the decision support for bilateral energy transactions. In fact, an adequate analysis of past actions of opposing negotiators can improve the decision-making process of market players, allowing them to choose the most appropriate parties to negotiate with in order to increase their outcomes. This paper proposes a new model to estimate the expected prices that can be achieved in bilateral contracts under a specific context, enabling adequate risk management in the negotiation process. The proposed approach is based on an adaptation of the Q-Learning reinforcement learning algorithm to choose the best scenario (set of forecast contract prices) from a set of possible scenarios that are determined using several forecasting and estimation methods. The learning process assesses the probability of occurrence of each scenario, by comparing each expected scenario with the real scenario. The final chosen scenario is the one that presents the higher expected utility value. Besides, the learning method can determine which is the best scenario for each context, since the behaviour of players can change according to the negotiation environment. Consequently, these conditions influence the final contract price of negotiations. This approach allows the supported player to be prepared for the negotiation scenario that is the most probable to represent a reliable approximation of the actual negotiation environment.

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