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Publicações

Publicações por CPES

2024

Predicting Hydro Reservoir Inflows with AI Techniques using Radar Data and a Numerical Weather Prediction Model

Autores
Almeida, MF; Soares, FJ; Oliveira, FT; Saraiva, JT; Pereira, M;

Publicação
2024 IEEE 15th International Symposium on Power Electronics for Distributed Generation Systems, PEDG 2024

Abstract
Reducing the gap between renewable energy needs and supply is crucial to achieve sustainable growth. Hydroelectric power production predictions in several Madeira Island catchment regions are shown in this article using Long Short-Term Memory, LSTM, networks. In order to foresee hydro reservoirs inflows, our models take into account the island's dynamic precipitation and flow rates and simplify the process of water moving from the cloud to the turbine. The model developed for the Socorridos Fajã Rodrigues system demonstrates the proficiency of LSTMs in capturing the unexpected flow behavior through its low RMSE. When it comes to energy planning, the model built for the CTIII Paul Velho system gives useful information despite its lower accuracy when it comes to anticipating problems. © 2024 IEEE.

2024

Efficient Power Flow Algorithm for Unbalanced Three-Phase Distribution Networks using Recursion and Parallel Programming

Autores
De Souza, M; Leite, B; Reiz, C;

Publicação
2024 IEEE 22nd Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2024

Abstract
In this work, the implementation of an efficient multi-threading algorithm for calculating the power flow in electricity distribution networks is carried out using recursion and parallel programming. With the integration of renewable energy, energy storage systems and distributed generation, the ability of power flow simulations becomes a crucial factor in finding the best solution in the shortest possible time. We propose the direct use of graph theory to represent distribution network topologies. In this data structure, the traversal algorithms are inherently recursive, thus enabling the development of algorithms with parallel programming to obtain the power flow calculation faster and more efficiently. Results under a 809 buses test system show that the implementation provides additional computation efficiency of 32% with recursion techniques and 27% with parallel programming, due the expense of threads' allocation the combined gain reaches 50%. © 2024 IEEE.

2024

Distributed Energy Resources and EV Charging Stations Expansion Planning for Grid-Connected Microgrids

Autores
de Lima, TD; Reiz, C; Soares, J; Lezama, F; Franco, JF; Vale, Z;

Publicação
ENERGY INFORMATICS, EI.A 2023, PT II

Abstract
The intensification of environmental impacts and the increased economic risks are triggering a technological race towards a low-carbon economy. In this socioeconomic scenario of increasing changes and environmental concerns, microgrids (MGs) play an important role in integrating distributed energy resources. Thus, a planning strategy for grid-connected MGs with distributed energy resources and electric vehicle (EV) charging stations is proposed in this paper. The developedmathematical model aims to defineMGexpansion decisions that satisfy the growing electricity demand (including EV charging demand) at the lowest possible cost; such decisions include investments in PV units, wind turbines, energy storage systems, and EV charging stations. The objective function is based on the interests of the MG owner, considering constraints associated with the main distribution grid. A mixed-integer linear programming model is used to formulate the problem, ensuring the solution's optimality. The applicability of the proposed model is evaluated in the 69-bus distribution grid. Promising results concerning grid-connected MGs were obtained, including the enhancement of energy exchange with the grid according to their needs.

2024

A novel formulation of low voltage distribution network equivalents for reliability analysis

Autores
Ndawula, MB; Djokic, SZ; Kisuule, M; Gu, CH; Hernando-Gil, I;

Publicação
SUSTAINABLE ENERGY GRIDS & NETWORKS

Abstract
Reliability analysis of large power networks requires accurate aggregate models of low voltage (LV) networks to allow for reasonable calculation complexity and to prevent long computational times. However, commonly used lumped load models neglect the differences in spatial distribution of demand, type of phase-connection of served customers and implemented protection system components (e.g., single-pole vs three-pole). This paper proposes a novel use of state enumeration (SE) and Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) techniques to formulate more accurate LV network reliability equivalents. The combined SE and MCS method is illustrated using a generic suburban LV test network, which is realistically represented by a reduced number of system states. This approach allows for a much faster and more accurate reliability assessments, where further reduction of system states results in a single-component equivalent reliability model with the same unavailability as the original LV network. Both mean values and probability distributions of standard reliability indices are calculated, where errors associated with the use of single-line models, as opposed to more detailed three-phase models, are quantified.

2024

Analysis of Long-Term Indicators in the British Balancing Market

Autores
Cheng S.; Gil I.H.; Flower I.; Gu C.; Li F.;

Publicação
IEEE Transactions on Power Systems

Abstract
Proactive participation of uncertain renewable generation in the day-ahead (DA) wholesale market effectively reduces the system marginal price and carbon emissions, whilst significantly increasing the volumes of real-time balancing mechanism prices to ensure system security and stability. To solve the conflicting interests over the two timescales, this article: 1) proposes a novel hierarchical optimization model to align with the actual operation paradigms of the hierarchical market, whereby the capacity allocation matrix is adopted to coordinate the DA and balancing markets; 2) mathematically formulates and quantitatively analyses the long-term driving factors of balancing actions, enabling system operators (SOs) to design efficient and well-functioning market structures to meet economic and environmental targets; 3) empowers renewable generating units and flexible loads to participate in the balancing market (BM) as 'active' actors and enforces the non-discriminatory provision of balancing services. The performance of the proposed model is validated on a modified IEEE 39-bus power system and a reduced GB network. Results reveal that with effective resource allocation in different timescales of the hierarchical market, the drop speed of balancing costs soars while the intermittent generation climbs. The proposed methodology enables SOs to make the most of all resources available in the market and balance the system flexibly and economically. It thus safeguards the climate mitigation pathways against the risks of substantially higher balancing costs.

2024

Cyber Vulnerabilities of Energy Systems

Autores
Zhao, AP; Li, S; Gu, C; Yan, X; Hu, PJ; Wang, Z; Xie, D; Cao, Z; Chen, X; Wu, C; Luo, T; Wang, Z; Hernando-Gil, I;

Publicação
IEEE Journal of Emerging and Selected Topics in Industrial Electronics

Abstract

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