2005
Autores
Campos, FA; Villar, J; Barquín, J;
Publicação
Probability in the Engineering and Informational Sciences
Abstract
It is known that Cournot game theory has been one of the theoretical approaches used more often to model electricity market behavior. Nevertheless, this approach is highly influenced by the residual demand curves of the market agents, which are usually not precisely known. This imperfect information has normally been studied with probability theory, but possibility theory might sometimes be more helpful in modeling not only uncertainty but also imprecision and vagueness. In this paper, two dual approaches are proposed to compute a robust Cournot equilibrium, when the residual demand uncertainty is modeled with possibility distributions. Additionally, it is shown that these two approaches can be combined into a bicriteria programming model, which can be solved with an iterative algorithm. Some interesting results for a real-size electricity system show the robustness of the proposed methodology. © 2005 Cambridge University Press.
2005
Autores
Oliveira, F; Madureira, A; Pérez Donsión, M;
Publicação
Renewable Energy and Power Quality Journal
Abstract
2004
Autores
Matos, MA; de Leao, MTP; Saraiva, JT; Fidalgo, JN; Miranda, V; Lopes, JP; Ferreira, JR; Pereira, JMC; Proenca, LM; Pinto, JL;
Publicação
METAHEURISTICS: COMPUTER DECISION-MAKING
Abstract
Most optimization and decision problems in power systems include integer or binary variables, leading to combinatorial problems. In this paper, several approaches using metaheuristics and genetic algorithms are presented that deal with real problems of the power industry Most of these methodologies are now implemented in distribution management systems (DMS) used by several utilities.
2004
Autores
Castro, ARG; Miranda, V;
Publicação
2004 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS
Abstract
An artificial neural network concept has been developed for transformer fault diagnosis using dissolved gas-in-oil analysis (DGA). A new methodology for mapping the neural network into a rule-based inference system is described. This mapping makes explicit the knowledge implicitly captured by the neural network during the learning stage, by transforming it into a Fuzzy Inference System. Some studies are reported, illustrating the good results obtained.
2004
Autores
Fonseka, J; Miranda, V;
Publicação
COMPEL-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL FOR COMPUTATION AND MATHEMATICS IN ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING
Abstract
This paper proposes an integrated approach of genetic algorithms, Tabu search and simulated annealing for multi-stage (dynamic) transmission network expansion planning. The proposed algorithm integrates the most interesting and best features of the above individual algorithms. The efficiency and reliability of the proposed algorithm is proved with the modified Garver's six-bus network. Finally, a real-world application (Sri Lankan transmission network) of the integrated algorithm is presented for multi-stage transmission expansion planning.
2004
Autores
Konjic, T; Miranda, V; Kapetanovic, I;
Publicação
2004 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS
Abstract
This paper reports the building of a system for predicting load curves at Low Voltage Substations supplying a set of consumers of different types (residential, industrial, etc.). The system is built by the aggregation of individual Fuzzy Inference Systems of the Takagi-Sugeno type. The paper describes how actual measurements formed a base of raw data and how test and training sets could be built from this base. Results produced by the prediction system and their comparison with actual load curves confirm the good performance of the model.
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