1995
Autores
MIRANDA, V; FIDALGO, JN; LOPES, JAP; ALMEIDA, LB;
Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS
Abstract
This paper reports a new approach in defining preventive control measures to assure transient stability relatively to one or several contingencies that may occur separately in a power system. Generation dispatch is driven not only by economic functions but also with the derivatives of the transient energy margin value; these derivatives are obtained directly from a trained Artificial Neural Network (ANN), using ri:al time monitorable system values. Results obtained from computer simulations, for several contingencies in the CIGRE test system, confirm the validity of the developed approach.
1995
Autores
SARAIVA, JT; MIRANDA, V; PINTO, LMVG;
Publicação
1995 IEEE POWER INDUSTRY COMPUTER APPLICATION CONFERENCE, CONFERENCE PROCEEDINGS
Abstract
This paper presents a Monte-Carlo algorithm considering loads defined by fuzzy numbers. In this methodology states are sampled according to the probabilistic models governing the life cycle of system components while fuzzy concepts are used to model uncertainty related to future load behavior. This model can be used to evaluate generation/transmission power system reliability for long term planning studies as one uses the more adequate uncertainty models for each type of data. For each sampled state a Fuzzy Optimal Power Flow is run so that one builds its power not supplied membership function. The paper proposes new indices reflecting the integration of probabilistic models and fuzzy concepts and discusses the application of variance reduction techniques if loads are defined by fuzzy numbers. A case-study based on the IEEE 30 bus system illustrates this methodology.
1995
Autores
Matos M.A.; Ponce de Leão M.T.;
Publicação
International Transactions in Operational Research
Abstract
Distribution systems planning heavily depends on the predicted future consumptions in the service area. When statistical data exist about past consumptions, probabilistic forecasting methods may be applied, and expected cost/benifit and risk analysis are used to decide between different solutions. In most cases, however, this strategy is not applicable, due mainly to the lack of significant data (new developing areas, rapidly changing situations) and uncertainty of economic and social factors. In the latter case, the use of fuzzy models is an interesting alternative, accommodating expert planner's qualitative judgments about future loads and allowing us to use 'typical' load diagrams in new areas. The paper discusses the main concepts of electric distribution system planning when loads are fuzzy modeled, and presents an illustrative application example. © 1995.
1995
Autores
Ferreira Isabel, M; Barbosa, FPM;
Publicação
Proceedings of the Universities Power Engineering Conference
Abstract
This paper presents an approach to the Dynamic State Estimation (DSE) problem to determine the real-time state of an electric power system under quasi-static operating conditions. Bearing in mind the large dimension of power systems, a new DSE algorithm is proposed in order to give a satisfactory solution from the computational point of view for the following steps of the DSE procedure: state forecasting, state filtering and detection and identification of bad data. Simulation results show the performance of the proposed algorithm under different operational conditions: normal, sudden change in the system operating point and occurrence of bad data.
1994
Autores
SARAIVA, JT; MIRANDA, V; PINTO, LMVG;
Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS
Abstract
In this paper, system component reinforcements are analyzed from the perspective of their impact in increasing flexibility in system design. The proposed framework integrates a fuzzy optimal power flow model through which one can derive, as a function of load uncertainties, possibility distributions for generation, power flows and power not supplied. Exposure and robustness indices, based on risk analysis concepts, are defined. These indices can be used to rank the expansion alternatives, giving the planner insight to system behavior in face of adverse futures. Their use in conjunction with investment assessments is proposed as a necessary step in a decision making methodology.
1994
Autores
MIRANDA, V; RANITO, JV; PROENCA, LM;
Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS
Abstract
This paper describes a genetic algorithm approach to the optimal multistage planning of distribution networks. The authors describe a mathematical and algorithmic model that they have developed and experimented with success. The paper also presents application examples, with real size systems. The advantages of adopting this new approach are discussed in the planning context, namely in conjunction with the adoption of multicriteria decision making methods.
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