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Publicações

Publicações por Leonel Magalhães Carvalho

2019

An advanced platform for power system security assessment accounting for forecast uncertainties

Autores
Ciapessoni, E; Cirio, D; Pitto, A; Omont, N; Carvalho, LM; Vasconcelos, MH;

Publicação
International Journal of Management and Decision Making

Abstract
Accounting for the increasing uncertainties related to forecast of renewables is becoming an essential requirement while assessing the security of future power system scenarios. Project iTesla in the Seventh Framework Program (FP7) of the European Union (EU) tackles these needs and reaches several major objectives, including the development of a security platform architecture. In particular, the platform implements a stochastic dependence model to simulate a reasonable cloud of plausible 'future' states - due to renewable forecast - around the expected state, and evaluates the security on relevant states after sampling the cloud of uncertainty. The paper focuses on the proposed model for the uncertainty and its exploitation in power system security assessment process and it reports the relevant validation results. Copyright © 2019 Inderscience Enterprises Ltd.

2019

Impact of decision-making models in Transmission Expansion Planning considering large shares of renewable energy sources

Autores
Gomes, PV; Saraiva, JT; Carvalho, L; Dias, B; Oliveira, LW;

Publicação
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH

Abstract
Transmission Expansion Planning (TEP) is traditionally carried out based on long-term forecasts for the peak load, which is viewed as the worst-case scenario. However, with the increasing renewable penetration, the peak load may not be longer the only worst-case to quantify new investment requirements. In fact, high off-peak load scenarios combined with low renewable generation can originate unforeseen bottlenecks. Besides, as TEP is a time-consuming problem, relaxed decision-making processes are often proposed in the literature to address the problem, however there is no guarantee that optimal planning has been achieved when some costs in the decision-making process are neglected. In this sense, this paper proposes a novel methodological framework to ensure that the system is sufficiently robust to overcome conditions with high electricity demand and low renewable energy, furthermore, this paper also presents a broad comparison between the common decision making processes adopted in the TEP literature aiming at providing a more insightful understanding of its impact on the total system cost. The optimization model, which is based on a multi-stage planning strategy, considers an AC-OPF model to enforce operational constrains, including the N-1 contingency criterion. The proposed model is tested through an evolutionary algorithm on a large test system with 118 bus. The uncertainties inherent to wind-solar-hydrothermal systems, demand and the life cycle of generation and transmission equipment are duly considered in the simulations. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methodology in providing solution plans able to meet the demand even in scenarios with high off-peak load and low renewable generation, unlike the planning carried out considering only the peak load. Besides, the results also demonstrate that relaxed decision-making models may generate insufficient expansion plans.

2019

Application of genetic algorithms and the cross-entropy method in practical home energy management systems

Autores
Abreu, C; Soares, I; Oliveira, L; Rua, D; Machado, P; Carvalho, L; Pecas Lopes, JAP;

Publicação
IET RENEWABLE POWER GENERATION

Abstract
Home energy management systems (HEMSs) are important platforms to allow consumers the use of flexibility in their consumption to optimise the total energy cost. The optimisation procedure embedded in these systems takes advantage of the nature of the existing loads and the generation equipment while complying with user preferences such as air temperature comfort configurations. The complexity in finding the best schedule for the appliances within an acceptable execution time for practical applications is leading not only to the development of different formulations for this optimisation problem, but also to the exploitation of non-deterministic optimisation methods as an alternative to traditional deterministic solvers. This study proposes the use of genetic algorithms (GAs) and the cross-entropy method (CEM) in low-power HEMS to solve a conventional mixed-integer linear programming formulation to optimise the total energy cost. Different scenarios for different countries are considered as well as different types of devices to assess the HEMS operation performance, namely, in terms of outputting fast and feasible schedules for the existing devices and systems. Simulation results in low-power HEMS show that GAs and the CEM can produce comparable solutions with the traditional deterministic solver requiring considerably less execution time.

2019

Load modeling of active low-voltage consumers and comparative analysis of their impact on distribution system expansion planning

Autores
Knak Neto, NK; Abaide, AD; Miranda, V; Gomes, PV; Carvalho, L; Sumaili, J; Bernardon, DP;

Publicação
INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL ENERGY SYSTEMS

Abstract
This paper proposes a new probabilistic model for active low-voltage prosumers suitable for distribution expansion planning studies. The load uncertainty of these consumers is considered through a range of load profiles by segmenting the energy consumption according to the different energy uses. Then, consumption adjustments are simulated using a nonhomogenous Poisson process based on the energy usage preferences and the financial gains according to the tariff scheme. A case study based on the modified IEEE 33-Bus test system with real data collected from a Brazilian distribution company is performed in order to analyze the impact of the load profiles in scenarios with high penetration of renewable distributed generation (DG). The experiments carried out reveal that considerable monetary savings in the expansion of the distribution grid can be achieved for this case study (up to 37%) as compared with the alternative with no active demand (AD) by exploiting the flexibility associated with the active behavior of prosumers as a response to price signals and/or by permitting adequate levels for the integration of DG into the distribution grid.

2019

Equivalent dynamic model of active distribution networks for large voltage disturbances

Autores
Fulgencio, N; Moreira, C; Carvalho, L; Lopes, JP;

Publicação
2019 IEEE MILAN POWERTECH

Abstract
This paper proposes a "grey-box" dynamic equivalent model for medium voltage active distribution networks, taking into account a heterogeneous fleet of generation technologies alongside the latest European grid codes requirements. It aims to properly represent the transient behavior of the system upon large voltage disturbances in the transmission side. The proposed equivalent model is composed by four main components: two equivalent generation units, one for converter-connected units' representation, and another accounting for the synchronous generation units' portfolio; an equivalent composite load model; and a battery energy storage system, also converter-connected to the grid. The model's parameters are estimated by an evolutionary particle swarm optimization algorithm, by comparing a fully-detailed model of a medium voltage distribution network with the equivalent model's frequency domain's responses of active and reactive power flows, at the boundary of distribution-transmission interface substation.

2019

Maximum Search Limitations: Boosting Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization Exploration

Autores
Serra Neto, MTR; Mollinetti, MAF; Miranda, V; Carvalho, LM;

Publicação
Progress in Artificial Intelligence - 19th EPIA Conference on Artificial Intelligence, EPIA 2019, Vila Real, Portugal, September 3-6, 2019, Proceedings, Part I

Abstract
The following paper presents a novel strategy named Maximum Search Limitations (MS) for the Evolutionary Particle Swarm Optimization (EPSO). The approach combines EPSO standard search mechanism with a set of rules and position-wise statistics, allowing candidate solutions to carry a more thorough search around the neighborhood of the best particle found in the swarm. The union of both techniques results in an EPSO variant named MS-EPSO. MS-EPSO crucial premise is to enhance the exploration phase while maintaining the exploitation potential of EPSO. Algorithm performance is measured on eight unconstrained and two constrained engineering design optimization problems. Simulations are made and its results are compared against other techniques including the classic Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO). Lastly, results suggest that MS-EPSO can be a rival to other optimization methods. © Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2019.

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