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Publicações

Publicações por Vladimiro Miranda

2023

A Data-Driven Approach to Estimate the Flexibility Maps in Multiple TSO-DSO Connections

Autores
Silva, J; Sumaili, J; Silva, B; Carvalho, L; Retorta, F; Staudt, M; Miranda, V;

Publicação
IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON POWER SYSTEMS

Abstract
This paper presents a methodology to estimate flexibility existing on TSO-DSO borderline, for the cases where multiple TSO-DSO connections exist (meshed grids). To do so, the work conducted exploits previous developments regarding flexibility representation through the adoption of active and reactive power flexibility maps and extends the concept for the cases where multiple TSO-DSO connection exists, using data-driven approach to determine the equivalent impedance between TSO nodes, preserving the anonymity regarding sensitive grid information, such as the topology. This paper also provides numerical validation followed by real-world demonstration of the methodology proposed.

2022

Sliding-Priors for Bayesian Information Fusion in SCADA plus PMU-based State Estimation

Autores
Camoes, F; Massignan, JAD; Miranda, V; London, JBA;

Publicação
2022 17TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS (PMAPS)

Abstract
This paper describes a new development within the conceptual framework BAYSE (Bayesian State Estimation), which enables the full integration of the SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) data with PMU (phasor measurement units) data. It is based on Bayesian inference principles and extends the concept of the prior distributions to accommodate a broad set of past state conditions, under a sliding window approach. By choosing an appropriate window length, the method enhances accuracy under stationary conditions, with a reduced impact under system changes. The work also submits a rectangular coordinates transformation procedure, based on the Jacobian method, to consistently integrate polar coordinates estimations with the PMU linear model (in rectangular coordinates). The paper presents the new approach in proof-of concept mode over a didactic test-bed, using real PMU time series, to emphasize the enhanced accuracy and good asymptotic properties.

2023

Economic Analysis of a Hydrogen Power Plant in the Portuguese Electricity Market

Autores
Rodrigues, LM; Soares, T; Rezende, I; Fontoura, JP; Miranda, V;

Publicação
ENERGIES

Abstract
Hydrogen is regarded as a flexible energy carrier with multiple applications across several sectors. For instance, it can be used in industrial processes, transports, heating, and electrical power generation. Green hydrogen, produced from renewable sources, can have a crucial role in the pathway towards global decarbonization. However, the success of green hydrogen production ultimately depends on its economic sustainability. In this context, this work evaluates the economic performance of a hydrogen power plant participating in the electricity market and supplying multiple hydrogen consumers. The analysis includes technical and economical details of the main components of the hydrogen power plant. Its operation is simulated using six different scenarios, which admit the production of either grey or green hydrogen. The scenarios used for the analysis include data from the Iberian electricity market for the Portuguese hub. An important conclusion is that the combination of multiple services in a hydrogen power plant has a positive effect on its economic performance. However, as of today, consumers who would wish to acquire green hydrogen would have to be willing to pay higher prices to compensate for the shorter periods of operation of hydrogen power plants and for their intrinsic losses. Nonetheless, an increase in green hydrogen demand based on a greater environmental awareness can lead to the need to not only build more of these facilities, but also to integrate more services into them. This could promote the investment in hydrogen-related technologies and result in changes in capital and operating costs of key components of these plants, which are necessary to bring down production costs.

2023

Evaluation of different bidding strategies for a battery energy storage system performing energy arbitrage - a neural network approach

Autores
Santos, P; Rezende, I; Soares, T; Miranda, V;

Publicação
2023 19TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON THE EUROPEAN ENERGY MARKET, EEM

Abstract
The rising potential for battery energy storage systems (BESS) to generate revenue in a market environment is addressed in this work, where a tool based on neural network predictions is proposed. The tool's main objective is predicting, based on historical data, the most lucrative out of three established bidding approaches for the participation of a BESS in the day-ahead energy market and thus aid the strategic bidding process of the BESS operator. Each of these bidding strategies reflects BESS's operator approach concerning bidding frequency and the tolerated risk of loss of profit from having its bids rejected, leading to the development of a conservative (strategy A), an aggressive (strategy B), and a moderate strategy (strategy C). A case study was then used to test the tool for a full year allowing to ascertain the assertiveness of this tool in predicting the best strategy, which for this case was above 88%.

1997

Probabilistic choice vs. risk analysis: conflicts and synthesis in power system planning

Autores
Miranda, V; Proenca, LM;

Publicação
IEEE Power Engineering Review

Abstract
This paper shows the conceptual differences between adopting a probabilistic weighting of the futures and a risk averse strategy, in power system planning under uncertain scenarios. It is illustrated with a distribution planning problem, where optimal solutions in both cases are determined by a genetic algorithm. It shows that the probabilistic approach is less safe and cannot detect some interesting solutions.

2004

An interpretation of neural networks as inference engines with application to transformer failure diagnosis

Autores
Castro, ARG; Miranda, V;

Publicação
2004 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS

Abstract
An artificial neural network concept has been developed for transformer fault diagnosis using dissolved gas-in-oil analysis (DGA). A new methodology for mapping the neural network into a rule-based inference system is described. This mapping makes explicit the knowledge implicitly captured by the neural network during the learning stage, by transforming it into a Fuzzy Inference System. Some studies are reported, illustrating the good results obtained.

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