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Publicações

2024

Predicting weight dispersion in seabass aquaculture using Discrete Event System simulation and Machine Learning modeling

Autores
Navarro, LC; Azevedo, A; Matos, A; Rocha, A; Ozorio, R;

Publicação
AQUACULTURE REPORTS

Abstract
Marine aquaculture, particularly in the Mediterranean region, faces the challenge of minimizing growth dispersion, which has a direct impact on the production cycle, market value and sustainability of the sector. Conventional grading methods are resource intensive and potentially detrimental to fish health. The current study presented an innovative approach in predicting fish weight dispersion in European seabass (Dicentrarchus labrax) aquaculture. Seabass is one of the two major fish species cultivated on the Mediterranean coast, with a fattening cycle of 18-24 months. During this period, several grading operations are carried out to minimize growth dispersion. The intricate feed-fish-water system, characterized by complex interactions among feeding regimes, fish behavior, individual metabolism and environmental factors, is the focus of the study. The comprehensive, five-step methodology addresses this complexity. The process begins with a Discrete Event System (DES) model that simulates the feed-fish-water dynamics, taking into account individual fish metabolism. This is followed by the development of a surrogate machine learning (ML) regressor model, which is trained on DES simulation data to efficiently predict growth distribution. The model is then calibrated and customized for specific fish stocks and production tanks. The preliminary results from 21 tanks in two trials with European seabass (D. labrax) showed the effectiveness of the method. The results from the simulation models achieved a R2 of 99.9 % and a Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) of 1.1 % for the prediction of mean final weight and a R2 of 90.3 % with a MAPE of 8.1 % for the standard deviation of final weight. In summary, this study represents a significant advance in the planning and management of seabass aquaculture. Given the lack of effective prediction tools in the aquaculture industry, the proposed methodology has the potential to reduce risks and inefficiencies, thus possibly optimizing aquaculture practices by increasing sustainability and profitability.

2024

Predicting macroeconomic indicators from online activity data: A review

Autores
Costa, EA; Silva, ME;

Publicação
Statistical Journal of the IAOS

Abstract
Predictors of macroeconomic indicators rely primarily on traditional data sourced from National Statistical Offices. However, new data sources made available from recent technological advancements, namely data from online activities, have the potential to bring about fresh perspectives on monitoring economic activities and enhance the accuracy of forecasting. This paper reviews the literature on predicting macroeconomic indicators, such as the gross domestic product, unemployment rate, consumer price index or private consumption, based on online activity data sourced from Google Trends, Twitter (rebranded to X) and mobile devices. Based on a systematic search of publications indexed on the Web of Science and Scopus databases, the analysis of a final set of 56 publications covers the publication history of the data sources, the methods used to model the data and the predictive accuracy of information from such data sources. The paper also discusses the limitations and challenges of using online activity data for macroeconomic predictions. The review concludes that online activity data can be a valuable source of information for predicting macroeconomic indicators. However, one must consider certain limitations and challenges to improve the models' accuracy and reliability. © 2024 - IOS Press. All rights reserved.

2024

Object and Event Detection Pipeline for Rink Hockey Games

Autores
Lopes, JM; Mota, LP; Mota, SM; Torres, JM; Moreira, RS; Soares, C; Pereira, I; Gouveia, FR; Sobral, P;

Publicação
FUTURE INTERNET

Abstract
All types of sports are potential application scenarios for automatic and real-time visual object and event detection. In rink hockey, the popular roller skate variant of team hockey, it is of great interest to automatically track player movements, positions, and sticks, and also to make other judgments, such as being able to locate the ball. In this work, we present a real-time pipeline consisting of an object detection model specifically designed for rink hockey games, followed by a knowledge-based event detection module. Even in the presence of occlusions and fast movements, our deep learning object detection model effectively identifies and tracks important visual elements in real time, such as: ball, players, sticks, referees, crowd, goalkeeper, and goal. Using a curated dataset consisting of a collection of rink hockey videos containing 2525 annotated frames, we trained and evaluated the algorithm's performance and compared it to state-of-the-art object detection techniques. Our object detection model, based on YOLOv7, presents a global accuracy of 80% and, according to our results, good performance in terms of accuracy and speed, making it a good choice for rink hockey applications. In our initial tests, the event detection module successfully detected an important event type in rink hockey games, namely, the occurrence of penalties.

2024

Variable Structure Controller for Energy Savings in an Underwater Sensor Platform

Autores
Carneiro, JF; Pinto, JB; de Almeida, FG; Cruz, NA;

Publicação
SENSORS

Abstract
This paper introduces a new variable structure controller designed for depth control of an autonomous underwater sensor platform equipped with a variable buoyancy module. To that end, the prototype linear model is presented, and a finite element-based method is used to estimate one of its parameters, the hull deformation due to pressure. To manage potential internal disturbances like hull deformation or external disturbances like weight changes, a disturbance observer is developed. An analysis of the observer steady-state estimation error in relation to input disturbances and system parameter uncertainties is developed. The locations of the observer poles according to its parameters are also identified. The variable structure controller is developed, keeping energy savings in mind. The proposed controller engages when system dynamics are unfavorable, causing the vehicle to deviate from the desired reference, and disengages when dynamics are favorable, guiding the vehicle toward the target reference. A detailed analysis determines the necessary switching control actions to ensure the system reaches the desired reference. Finally, simulations are run to compare the proposed controller's performance with that of PID-based controllers recently developed in the literature, assessing dynamic response and energy consumption under various operating conditions. Both the VBM- and propeller-actuated vehicles were evaluated. The results demonstrate that the proposed controller achieves an average energy consumption reduction of 22% compared to the next most efficient PID-based controller for the VBM-actuated vehicle, though with some impact on control performance.

2024

Multiple Instance Learning in Medical Images: A Systematic Review

Autores
Barbosa, D; Ferreira, M; Braz, G Jr; Salgado, M; Cunha, A;

Publicação
IEEE ACCESS

Abstract
This article presents a systematic review of Multiple Instance Learning (MIL) applied to image classification, specifically highlighting its applications in medical imaging. Motivated by the need for a comprehensive and up-to-date analysis due to the scarcity of recent reviews, this study uses defined selection criteria to systematically assess the quality and synthesize data from relevant studies. Focusing on MIL, a subfield of machine learning that deals with learning from sets of instances or bags, this review is crucial for medical diagnosis, where accurate lesion detection is a challenge. The review details the methodologies, advances and practical implementations of MIL, emphasizing the attention-grabbing and transformative mechanisms that improve the analysis of medical images. Challenges such as the need for extensive annotated datasets and significant computational resources are discussed. In addition, the review covers three main topics: the characterization of MIL algorithms in various imaging domains, a detailed evaluation of performance metrics, and a critical analysis of data structures and computational resources. Despite these challenges, MIL offers a promising direction for research with significant implications for medical diagnostics, highlighting the importance of continued exploration and improvement in this area.

2024

The Impact of Optimizing Hybrid Renewable Energy System on Wine Industry Sustainability

Autores
Jesus, B; Cerveira, A; Santos, E; Baptista, J;

Publicação
2024 IEEE 22nd Mediterranean Electrotechnical Conference, MELECON 2024

Abstract
Motivated by the imperative of sustainable practices, the wine industry is increasingly adopting renewable energy technologies to address environmental concerns and ensure its long-term viability amidst rising fossil fuel costs and greenhouse gas emissions. Hybrid renewable energy systems (HRES) have emerged as a solution to improve energy efficiency and mitigate the variability of renewable resources, allowing for better system load factors, greater stability of power supply, and optimized use of infrastructure. Therefore, this study aims to design a HRES that integrates solar and wind energy to sustainably fed an irrigation system in a favorable technical-economic context. This research presents a Mixed Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model that optimizes the profit generated by a grid-connected HRES over 20 years and obtains the optimal system sizing. The study focuses on the farm Quinta do Vallado, Portugal, and examines two distinct Cases. Over 20 years, the implementation of the hybrid system has resulted in savings of approximately 61%. © 2024 IEEE.

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