2024
Autores
Oliveira, JM; Ramos, P;
Publicação
MATHEMATICS
Abstract
This study investigates the effectiveness of Transformer-based models for retail demand forecasting. We evaluated vanilla Transformer, Informer, Autoformer, PatchTST, and temporal fusion Transformer (TFT) against traditional baselines like AutoARIMA and AutoETS. Model performance was assessed using mean absolute scaled error (MASE) and weighted quantile loss (WQL). The M5 competition dataset, comprising 30,490 time series from 10 stores, served as the evaluation benchmark. The results demonstrate that Transformer-based models significantly outperform traditional baselines, with Transformer, Informer, and TFT leading the performance metrics. These models achieved MASE improvements of 26% to 29% and WQL reductions of up to 34% compared to the seasonal Na & iuml;ve method, particularly excelling in short-term forecasts. While Autoformer and PatchTST also surpassed traditional methods, their performance was slightly lower, indicating the potential for further tuning. Additionally, this study highlights a trade-off between model complexity and computational efficiency, with Transformer models, though computationally intensive, offering superior forecasting accuracy compared to the significantly slower traditional models like AutoARIMA. These findings underscore the potential of Transformer-based approaches for enhancing retail demand forecasting, provided the computational demands are managed effectively.
2024
Autores
Martins, J; Pereira, P; Campilho, R; Pinto, A;
Publicação
2024 20TH IEEE/ASME INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MECHATRONIC AND EMBEDDED SYSTEMS AND APPLICATIONS, MESA 2024
Abstract
Due to the difficult access to the maritime environment, cooperation between different robotic platforms operating in different domains provides numerous advantages when considering Operations and Maintenance (O&M) missions. The nest Uncrewed Surface Vehicle (USV) is equipped with a parallel platform, serving as a landing pad for Uncrewed Aerial Vehicle (UAV) landings in dynamic sea states. This work proposes a methodology for short term forecasting of wave-behaviour using Fast Fourier Transforms (FFT) and a low-pass Butterworth filter to filter out noise readings from the Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) and applying an Auto-Regressive (AR) model for the forecast, showing good results within an almost 10-second window. These predictions are then used in a Model Predictive Control (MPC) approach to optimize trajectory planning of the landing pad roll and pitch, in order to increase horizontality, consistently mitigating around 80% of the wave induced motion.
2024
Autores
Cristino, C; Nicola, S; Costa, J; Bettencourt, N; Madureira, A; Pereira, I; Costa, A;
Publicação
2024 IEEE 22ND MEDITERRANEAN ELECTROTECHNICAL CONFERENCE, MELECON 2024
Abstract
This paper focuses on the importance of Business Intelligence (BI) tools in the business context and the urgent need for more effective implementation of time series forecasting models in these resources. It shows the utility and applicability of Sage Enterprise Intelligence (SEI), an integrated BI tool in Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP) Sage, by illustrating how it enhances data analysis and decision-making processes. Additionally, a study will show the application of time series forecasting models: Seasonal AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and additive Holt-Winters to the sales value of a fuel sector company. The research was conducted through a case study in which sales data were collected from 2016 to 2023. The results indicate that neither of the two models exceeded the sales figures reflecting the company's market position. In this case study, both models performed well, with the residuals verifying the assumptions. However, the additive Holt-Winters model had lower errors, which is why it was selected for the final step: forecasting 12 months.
2024
Autores
Ramoa, L; Campos, P;
Publicação
Digital Transformation and Enterprise Information Systems
Abstract
As we delve into how technology enhances supply chain management efficiency and tackles specific e-business challenges, we must recognize the critical synergy with recommendation systems. These systems align with digital transformation goals, enhancing customer experiences, enabling data-driven decisions, promoting innovation, and embracing a customer-centric approach. During the 2020 COVID-19 surge, e-commerce experienced increased activity, highlighting the significance of recommendation systems in forecasting new purchases. This chapter introduces a novel approach to understanding customer–product interactions through multilayer bipartite networks, employing a hybrid recommendation system with k-means and weighted slope one algorithms. This approach enhances clarity, explainability, and information gains, aiding tasks like inventory optimization. The study concludes that the model’s predicted results differ from the actual ratings and that the system is effective in improving decision-making processes and customer recommendations. © 2025 selection and editorial matter, Adelaide Martins and Carolina Machado.
2024
Autores
Piardi, L; Oliveira, A; Costa, P; Leitão, P;
Publicação
IEEE International Conference on Emerging Technologies and Factory Automation, ETFA
Abstract
Cyber-physical systems (CPS) rapidly expand within industrial contexts in a new era of digitalization, processing power, and inter-device communication capabilities. These advancements integrate technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT), artificial intelligence (AI), and cloud and edge computing, granting processes and operations a high degree of autonomy. In addition, these interconnections foster collective intelligence arising from information exchange and collaboration between components, often outperforming individual capabilities. This collective intelligence manifests in fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) tasks within CPS, as it significantly improves the flexibility, performance, and scalability. However, the inherent complexity of CPS poses challenges in determining the best configuration of the collaboration parameters, such as when and how to collaborate, wherein incorrect adjustments may lead to decision errors and compromise the system's performance. With this in mind, this paper proposes seven metrics to evaluate collaboration performance for fault detection and diagnosis in multi-agent systems (MAS)-based CPS, evaluating when the collaboration is beneficial or when the collaboration parameters need to be adjusted. The experiments focus on collaborative fault detection in temperature and humidity sensors within warehouse racks, where the proposed evaluation metrics point out the impact of collaboration on the detection task, as well as possible actions to be adopted to improve the agent's performance. © 2024 IEEE.
2024
Autores
Prisco, M; Pires, PB; Delgado, C; Santos, JD;
Publicação
Springer Proceedings in Earth and Environmental Sciences
Abstract
Shopping on the Internet is now an everyday activity for consumers. An understanding of which constructs are relevant in this activity is of crucial importance for online stores to adapt their strategies. The existence of a holistic model with these relevant constructs, however, is lacking in the literature. This research is exploratory in nature. The study aimed to identify the constructs that are closely and consistently related to the customer experience in online stores. In the literature review, 15 constructs were identified. They are web content, customer service, service quality, terms and conditions, digital channels, security and privacy, brand, perceived price, perceived risk, word of mouth, perceived value, trust, satisfaction, and loyalty. The review of the literature also revealed the imperative of building or revising the measurement scales of those constructs that were identified to allow for their operationalization. For this reason, a questionnaire with scales that have been adapted from several authors has also been proposed. This questionnaire has a feasible number of questions to be answered. © The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2024.
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